Raquel Lyra, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Pernambuco governor, holds the strongest trader consensus at 68.5% amid recent polling gains that have reversed earlier deficits to João Campos. Late-July and early-August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, show Lyra at 43–48% in first-round scenarios against Campos at 37–42%, with her edge widening notably among younger voters and reflecting steady incumbency support ahead of the October vote. Campos, the PSB mayor of Recife and 2022 runner-up, trails at 27.5% as the main challenger, while minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible shares. The market pricing aligns with these shifts in first-round intentions and the likelihood of a competitive runoff, though the outcome remains sensitive to final campaign dynamics and turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRaquel Lyra 69%
João Campos 28%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$25,998 Wol.
$25,998 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
69%
João Campos
28%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 69%
João Campos 28%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$25,998 Wol.
$25,998 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$11,543 Wol.
69%
João Campos
$12,304 Wol.
28%
Ivan Moraes
$2,151 Wol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Pernambuco governor, holds the strongest trader consensus at 68.5% amid recent polling gains that have reversed earlier deficits to João Campos. Late-July and early-August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, show Lyra at 43–48% in first-round scenarios against Campos at 37–42%, with her edge widening notably among younger voters and reflecting steady incumbency support ahead of the October vote. Campos, the PSB mayor of Recife and 2022 runner-up, trails at 27.5% as the main challenger, while minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible shares. The market pricing aligns with these shifts in first-round intentions and the likelihood of a competitive runoff, though the outcome remains sensitive to final campaign dynamics and turnout.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$25,998Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Pernambuco governor, holds the strongest trader consensus at 68.5% amid recent polling gains that have reversed earlier deficits to João Campos. Late-July and early-August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, show Lyra at 43–48% in first-round scenarios against Campos at 37–42%, with her edge widening notably among younger voters and reflecting steady incumbency support ahead of the October vote. Campos, the PSB mayor of Recife and 2022 runner-up, trails at 27.5% as the main challenger, while minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible shares. The market pricing aligns with these shifts in first-round intentions and the likelihood of a competitive runoff, though the outcome remains sensitive to final campaign dynamics and turnout.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$25,998Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Pernambuco governor, holds the strongest trader consensus at 68.5% amid recent polling gains that have reversed earlier deficits to João Campos. Late-July and early-August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, show Lyra at 43–48% in first-round scenarios against Campos at 37–42%, with her edge widening notably among younger voters and reflecting steady incumbency support ahead of the October vote. Campos, the PSB mayor of Recife and 2022 runner-up, trails at 27.5% as the main challenger, while minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible shares. The market pricing aligns with these shifts in first-round intentions and the likelihood of a competitive runoff, though the outcome remains sensitive to final campaign dynamics and turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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