The Republican Party maintains a modest edge in trader consensus for Colorado's 3rd congressional district House seat, reflecting the district's Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the advantages of an incumbent. Freshman Representative Jeff Hurd faces a primary challenge on June 30 from Ron Hanks, with recent shifts in high-profile endorsements introducing volatility among Republican voters. On the Democratic side, Alex Kelloff leads the June 30 primary against Dwayne Romero and has shown stronger early fundraising momentum, though the seat's structural tilt limits broader gains. Upcoming primary results and any further campaign developments could adjust these probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCO-03 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
35%
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
35%
Republican Party
55%
If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no winner is announced by November 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party maintains a modest edge in trader consensus for Colorado's 3rd congressional district House seat, reflecting the district's Republican-leaning partisan voting index and the advantages of an incumbent. Freshman Representative Jeff Hurd faces a primary challenge on June 30 from Ron Hanks, with recent shifts in high-profile endorsements introducing volatility among Republican voters. On the Democratic side, Alex Kelloff leads the June 30 primary against Dwayne Romero and has shown stronger early fundraising momentum, though the seat's structural tilt limits broader gains. Upcoming primary results and any further campaign developments could adjust these probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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