Florida’s 14th congressional district remains highly competitive ahead of the November general election because recent state redistricting shifted its partisan voting index toward Republicans while preserving a sizable Democratic base in the Tampa area. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a Republican primary on August 18 alongside her own Democratic primary challenge, with the new map and national midterm dynamics creating uncertainty about turnout and candidate strength. Forecasters rate the seat as lean Republican, yet traders see no clear edge for either party given the district’s history of close results and the still-early stage of the campaign.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$21,055 Wol.
$21,055 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
52%
Democratic Party
50%
$21,055 Wol.
$21,055 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,853 Wol.
52%
Democratic Party
$9,202 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 14th congressional district remains highly competitive ahead of the November general election because recent state redistricting shifted its partisan voting index toward Republicans while preserving a sizable Democratic base in the Tampa area. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a Republican primary on August 18 alongside her own Democratic primary challenge, with the new map and national midterm dynamics creating uncertainty about turnout and candidate strength. Forecasters rate the seat as lean Republican, yet traders see no clear edge for either party given the district’s history of close results and the still-early stage of the campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,055Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 14th congressional district remains highly competitive ahead of the November general election because recent state redistricting shifted its partisan voting index toward Republicans while preserving a sizable Democratic base in the Tampa area. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a Republican primary on August 18 alongside her own Democratic primary challenge, with the new map and national midterm dynamics creating uncertainty about turnout and candidate strength. Forecasters rate the seat as lean Republican, yet traders see no clear edge for either party given the district’s history of close results and the still-early stage of the campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$21,055Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 14th congressional district remains highly competitive ahead of the November general election because recent state redistricting shifted its partisan voting index toward Republicans while preserving a sizable Democratic base in the Tampa area. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a Republican primary on August 18 alongside her own Democratic primary challenge, with the new map and national midterm dynamics creating uncertainty about turnout and candidate strength. Forecasters rate the seat as lean Republican, yet traders see no clear edge for either party given the district’s history of close results and the still-early stage of the campaign.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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