Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Georgia's 12th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voting index. Allen's consistent general election margins around 60 percent in prior cycles underscore the district's structural advantage for Republicans heading into November. On the Democratic side, the May primary advanced two candidates to a June 16 runoff, reflecting a fragmented field unlikely to alter the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus at 79.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these factors and historical performance in this district, though general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle shifts remain variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGA-12 House Election Winner
$16,835 Wol.
$16,835 Wol.
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
20%
$16,835 Wol.
$16,835 Wol.
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
20%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with over 80 percent of the vote in Georgia's 12th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voting index. Allen's consistent general election margins around 60 percent in prior cycles underscore the district's structural advantage for Republicans heading into November. On the Democratic side, the May primary advanced two candidates to a June 16 runoff, reflecting a fragmented field unlikely to alter the race's fundamentals. Trader consensus at 79.5 percent Republican probability aligns with these factors and historical performance in this district, though general election turnout patterns and any late-cycle shifts remain variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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