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icon for Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner

Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner

icon for Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner

Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner

Chinedu Obiekea 76%

Derek Lunsford 56%

Brandon Curry 34%

Samson Dauda 27%

Polymarket
NEW

Chinedu Obiekea 76%

Derek Lunsford 56%

Brandon Curry 34%

Samson Dauda 27%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chinedu Obiekea

Chinedu Obiekea

$33 Vol.

76%

icon for Derek Lunsford

Derek Lunsford

$225 Vol.

56%

icon for Brandon Curry

Brandon Curry

$28 Vol.

34%

icon for Samson Dauda

Samson Dauda

$176 Vol.

27%

icon for Sasan Heirati

Sasan Heirati

$58 Vol.

25%

icon for James Hollingshead

James Hollingshead

$58 Vol.

25%

icon for Patrick Moore

Patrick Moore

$58 Vol.

25%

icon for Jordan Hutchinson

Jordan Hutchinson

$58 Vol.

23%

icon for Regan Grimes

Regan Grimes

$58 Vol.

23%

icon for William Bonac

William Bonac

$58 Vol.

21%

icon for Andrea Presti

Andrea Presti

$58 Vol.

19%

icon for Hadi Choopan

Hadi Choopan

$58 Vol.

16%

icon for Sergei Danilov

Sergei Danilov

$58 Vol.

12%

icon for Damian Kuffel

Damian Kuffel

$58 Vol.

12%

icon for Michal Krizanek

Michal Krizanek

$58 Vol.

11%

icon for Tonio Burton

Tonio Burton

$58 Vol.

11%

icon for Mohamed Foda

Mohamed Foda

$58 Vol.

11%

icon for Leandro Sencini Peres

Leandro Sencini Peres

$58 Vol.

11%

icon for Behrooz Tabani Abarghani

Behrooz Tabani Abarghani

$58 Vol.

11%

icon for Nick Walker

Nick Walker

$155 Vol.

10%

icon for Martin Fitzwater

Martin Fitzwater

$13 Vol.

9%

icon for Shaun Clarida

Shaun Clarida

$116 Vol.

9%

icon for Quinton Eriya

Quinton Eriya

$208 Vol.

4%

icon for Edward Kargbo

Edward Kargbo

$168 Vol.

3%

The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title. In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner. If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Derek Lunsford enters the 2026 Mr. Olympia as the clear market frontrunner at 56.5% implied probability, driven by his status as the two-time defending champion who swept the 2025 Arnold Classic, Pittsburgh Pro, and Olympia. Traders are pricing in his proven conditioning, structure, and presentation edge against a deep Open field, though Chinedu Obiekea at 38.5% and Samson Dauda at 27% reflect strong counter-momentum from Jacked’s Arnold Classic wins and Dauda’s recent Europa Pro victory. Hadi Choopan’s withdrawal has flattened the field further, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to final peaking and conditioning on stage in Las Vegas this weekend. Historical voting patterns reward complete packages over raw mass, yet late improvements from contenders like Nick Walker keep the Sandow trophy race contested.

The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title.

In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner.

If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title. In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner. If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,983
End Date
Sep 26, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://mrolympia.com/

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...
The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title. In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner. If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Derek Lunsford enters the 2026 Mr. Olympia as the clear market frontrunner at 56.5% implied probability, driven by his status as the two-time defending champion who swept the 2025 Arnold Classic, Pittsburgh Pro, and Olympia. Traders are pricing in his proven conditioning, structure, and presentation edge against a deep Open field, though Chinedu Obiekea at 38.5% and Samson Dauda at 27% reflect strong counter-momentum from Jacked’s Arnold Classic wins and Dauda’s recent Europa Pro victory. Hadi Choopan’s withdrawal has flattened the field further, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to final peaking and conditioning on stage in Las Vegas this weekend. Historical voting patterns reward complete packages over raw mass, yet late improvements from contenders like Nick Walker keep the Sandow trophy race contested.

The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title.

In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner.

If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2026 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for September 24–27, 2026, with the Men’s Open finals on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2026 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title. In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner. If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,983
End Date
Sep 26, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://mrolympia.com/

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chinedu Obiekea" at 76%, followed by "Derek Lunsford" at 74%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner" is "Chinedu Obiekea" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Derek Lunsford" at 74%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mr. Olympia 2026: Men’s Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.