Cortis holds a narrow edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, driven by its BTS-affiliated K-pop fanbase and nominations across Best New Artist, Best Group, and Best K-Pop, which amplify organized voting ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Sienna Spiro trails closely at 52.5% on the strength of her debut album *Visitor*, over one billion streams, a Hot 100 single, and confirmed performance slot that boosts visibility among general audiences. The remaining nominees, including Malcolm Todd and Bella Kay, sit well below 20% as they lack comparable chart momentum or precursor buzz. With fan voting still open through the show, the outcome hinges on turnout from dedicated stan communities versus broader critical and streaming support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVMA Best New Artist 2026
VMA Best New Artist 2026
Sienna Spiro 53%
Cortis 38%
Malcolm Todd 6%
Myles Smith 5.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Sienna Spiro
53%
Cortis
38%
Malcolm Todd
6%
Myles Smith
5%
Magnus Ferrell
5%
Stella Lefty
5%
Bella Kay
5%
Sienna Spiro 53%
Cortis 38%
Malcolm Todd 6%
Myles Smith 5.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 27, 2026
Sienna Spiro
$20 Vol.
53%
Cortis
$20 Vol.
38%
Malcolm Todd
$1 Vol.
6%
Myles Smith
$0 Vol.
5%
Magnus Ferrell
$40 Vol.
5%
Stella Lefty
$0 Vol.
5%
Bella Kay
$1 Vol.
5%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cortis holds a narrow edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, driven by its BTS-affiliated K-pop fanbase and nominations across Best New Artist, Best Group, and Best K-Pop, which amplify organized voting ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Sienna Spiro trails closely at 52.5% on the strength of her debut album *Visitor*, over one billion streams, a Hot 100 single, and confirmed performance slot that boosts visibility among general audiences. The remaining nominees, including Malcolm Todd and Bella Kay, sit well below 20% as they lack comparable chart momentum or precursor buzz. With fan voting still open through the show, the outcome hinges on turnout from dedicated stan communities versus broader critical and streaming support.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volume
$82End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cortis holds a narrow edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, driven by its BTS-affiliated K-pop fanbase and nominations across Best New Artist, Best Group, and Best K-Pop, which amplify organized voting ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Sienna Spiro trails closely at 52.5% on the strength of her debut album *Visitor*, over one billion streams, a Hot 100 single, and confirmed performance slot that boosts visibility among general audiences. The remaining nominees, including Malcolm Todd and Bella Kay, sit well below 20% as they lack comparable chart momentum or precursor buzz. With fan voting still open through the show, the outcome hinges on turnout from dedicated stan communities versus broader critical and streaming support.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cortis holds a narrow edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, driven by its BTS-affiliated K-pop fanbase and nominations across Best New Artist, Best Group, and Best K-Pop, which amplify organized voting ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Sienna Spiro trails closely at 52.5% on the strength of her debut album *Visitor*, over one billion streams, a Hot 100 single, and confirmed performance slot that boosts visibility among general audiences. The remaining nominees, including Malcolm Todd and Bella Kay, sit well below 20% as they lack comparable chart momentum or precursor buzz. With fan voting still open through the show, the outcome hinges on turnout from dedicated stan communities versus broader critical and streaming support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions