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Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Dave Roberts 46%

Warren Schaeffer 44%

Walt Weiss 43%

Blake Butera 43%

Polymarket

$15,103 Vol.

Dave Roberts 46%

Warren Schaeffer 44%

Walt Weiss 43%

Blake Butera 43%

Polymarket

$15,103 Vol.

Dave Roberts

$0 Vol.

46%

Warren Schaeffer

$3,007 Vol.

44%

Walt Weiss

$0 Vol.

43%

Blake Butera

$0 Vol.

43%

Pat Murphy

$0 Vol.

43%

Craig Stammen

$0 Vol.

42%

Tony Vitello

$0 Vol.

42%

Rob Thomson

$0 Vol.

42%

Clayton McCullough

$0 Vol.

38%

Torey Lovullo

$0 Vol.

38%

Oliver Marmol

$0 Vol.

38%

Craig Counsell

$0 Vol.

28%

Terry Francona

$2,740 Vol.

23%

Carlos Mendoza

$9,319 Vol.

-

Don Kelly

$38 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin margins in the NL Manager of the Year race, with Dave Roberts (46.5%) edging Don Kelly (45.5%) amid a clustered field hovering around 43%, underscoring early-season uncertainty just one week into the 2026 campaign. Roberts' Dodgers sit atop the NL West at 4-2, leveraging their powerhouse roster and his proven championship pedigree—three World Series titles and a prior MOY win—while Kelly's Pirates hold steady at 3-3 in a loaded Central, impressing with bold calls like early hooks on ace Paul Skenes. Differentiators include overachievement narratives, like Clayton McCullough's Marlins (5-1 East leaders) and Pat Murphy's dominant Brewers (5-1, +28 run differential), versus pedigree for Roberts and Pirates' youth surge under Kelly. With 150+ games left, pivotal series and run differentials will dictate momentum shifts.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,103
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin margins in the NL Manager of the Year race, with Dave Roberts (46.5%) edging Don Kelly (45.5%) amid a clustered field hovering around 43%, underscoring early-season uncertainty just one week into the 2026 campaign. Roberts' Dodgers sit atop the NL West at 4-2, leveraging their powerhouse roster and his proven championship pedigree—three World Series titles and a prior MOY win—while Kelly's Pirates hold steady at 3-3 in a loaded Central, impressing with bold calls like early hooks on ace Paul Skenes. Differentiators include overachievement narratives, like Clayton McCullough's Marlins (5-1 East leaders) and Pat Murphy's dominant Brewers (5-1, +28 run differential), versus pedigree for Roberts and Pirates' youth surge under Kelly. With 150+ games left, pivotal series and run differentials will dictate momentum shifts.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,103
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Aaron Boone win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

45%
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Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

43%
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Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?

36%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dave Roberts" at 46%, followed by "Warren Schaeffer" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" has generated $15.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: NL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is "Dave Roberts" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Warren Schaeffer" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.