This is a market on whether China will report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1, 2022.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if China reports a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average on or after this market’s inception date of March 15, and on or before May 1, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

At the time of this market’s inception, the record high 7-day COVID-19 case average in China was 4602.43. Thus, if China reaches a 7-day COVID-19 case average greater than 4602.43 after March 15 and on or before May 1, 2022, this market would resolve to “Yes.”, regardless of any retroactive updates on the previous record.

This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for China, with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?facet=none&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=false&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~CHN&Metric=Confirmed+cases.

The resolution source will be reviewed daily at 12 PM ET to see if any day had a 7-day rolling average above 4602.43. The final check will be on May 5, 2022.