Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 39% implied probability for the 2026 US Open women's title, propelled by her dominant 2024 US Open victory over Jessica Pegula and flawless hard-court record this year, including Australian Open and Madrid triumphs that showcase her explosive baseline power suited to New York's fast DecoTurf. Elena Rybakina's 20.5% share stems from her booming serve yielding deep USO runs and finals at Indian Wells/Miami, positioning her as the top challenger. Iga Swiatek trails at 13% despite world No. 2 status, hampered by quarterfinal exits in recent New York majors despite Olympic gold. Coco Gauff's 5.3% reflects her 2023 title but recent form dips, while rising teens like Mirra Andreeva gain traction from junior breakthroughs amid shifting WTA dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 47%
Elena Rybakina 20.5%
Iga Swiatek 9%
Coco Gauff 5.3%
$880,427 Vol.
$880,427 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
41%
Elena Rybakina
21%
Iga Swiatek
9%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Ashlyn Krueger
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Madison Keys
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Jasmine Paolini
2%
Naomi Osaka
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Alexandra Eala
2%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Daria Kasatkina
1%
Linda Noskova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Xiyu Wang
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Tereza Valentova
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 47%
Elena Rybakina 20.5%
Iga Swiatek 9%
Coco Gauff 5.3%
$880,427 Vol.
$880,427 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
41%
Elena Rybakina
21%
Iga Swiatek
9%
Coco Gauff
5%
Mirra Andreeva
4%
Ashlyn Krueger
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Madison Keys
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Jasmine Paolini
2%
Naomi Osaka
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Alexandra Eala
2%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Amanda Anisimova
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Daria Kasatkina
1%
Linda Noskova
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Xiyu Wang
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Tereza Valentova
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 39% implied probability for the 2026 US Open women's title, propelled by her dominant 2024 US Open victory over Jessica Pegula and flawless hard-court record this year, including Australian Open and Madrid triumphs that showcase her explosive baseline power suited to New York's fast DecoTurf. Elena Rybakina's 20.5% share stems from her booming serve yielding deep USO runs and finals at Indian Wells/Miami, positioning her as the top challenger. Iga Swiatek trails at 13% despite world No. 2 status, hampered by quarterfinal exits in recent New York majors despite Olympic gold. Coco Gauff's 5.3% reflects her 2023 title but recent form dips, while rising teens like Mirra Andreeva gain traction from junior breakthroughs amid shifting WTA dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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