Nashville SC's surge to the top of the MLS Eastern Conference standings with a 6-1-1 record and potent attack has fueled trader consensus, yet Philadelphia Union's slight edge at home in Subaru Park—where they've historically performed well—keeps probabilities bunched tightly at 36.5% Union, 34.0% Nashville, and 26.5% draw. Even head-to-head history (4 wins each, 3 draws) underscores the competitiveness, with recent Union struggles amid injuries to Olivier Mbaizo (hamstring) and Quinn Sullivan (knee) offset by Nashville's absences like Chris Applewhite (lower body) and questionable Sam Surridge (lower body). Last week's form shows Nashville unbeaten in five, but Union's rest advantage after a midweek bye tempers the visitors' momentum ahead of the May 2 clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nashville SC's surge to the top of the MLS Eastern Conference standings with a 6-1-1 record and potent attack has fueled trader consensus, yet Philadelphia Union's slight edge at home in Subaru Park—where they've historically performed well—keeps probabilities bunched tightly at 36.5% Union, 34.0% Nashville, and 26.5% draw. Even head-to-head history (4 wins each, 3 draws) underscores the competitiveness, with recent Union struggles amid injuries to Olivier Mbaizo (hamstring) and Quinn Sullivan (knee) offset by Nashville's absences like Chris Applewhite (lower body) and questionable Sam Surridge (lower body). Last week's form shows Nashville unbeaten in five, but Union's rest advantage after a midweek bye tempers the visitors' momentum ahead of the May 2 clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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