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Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Collin Morikawa 14.3%

Cameron Young 13.9%

Ludvig Aberg 12.0%

Polymarket

$95,298 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Collin Morikawa 14.3%

Cameron Young 13.9%

Ludvig Aberg 12.0%

Polymarket

$95,298 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$2,019 Vol.

16%

Collin Morikawa

$6,773 Vol.

14%

Cameron Young

$37 Vol.

14%

Ludvig Aberg

$4,225 Vol.

12%

Daniel Berger

$1,585 Vol.

11%

Matt McCarty

$227 Vol.

8%

Russell Henley

$1,138 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$2,276 Vol.

5%

Kevin Roy

$220 Vol.

5%

Rory McIlroy

$4,527 Vol.

4%

Kurt Kitayama

$4,212 Vol.

3%

Chris Gotterup

$1,591 Vol.

3%

Adam Scott

$253 Vol.

3%

Denny McCarthy

$121 Vol.

3%

Sahith Theegala

$426 Vol.

3%

Min Woo Lee

$2,155 Vol.

2%

Keith Mitchell

$347 Vol.

2%

Billy Horschel

$1,094 Vol.

2%

Rickie Fowler

$1,918 Vol.

2%

Corey Conners

$2,302 Vol.

2%

Hideki Matsuyama

$1,079 Vol.

2%

Harris English

$1,617 Vol.

2%

Ryan Fox

$284 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$128 Vol.

10%

Jhonattan Vegas

$10,009 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$128 Vol.

10%

Akshay Bhatia

$1,429 Vol.

1%

Pierceson Coody

$128 Vol.

1%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$2,439 Vol.

1%

Tommy Fleetwood

$2,087 Vol.

1%

Sung-Jae Im

$242 Vol.

1%

JT Poston

$0 Vol.

1%

Aldrich Potgieter

$220 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$153 Vol.

1%

Si Woo Kim

$37 Vol.

10%

Justin Rose

$37 Vol.

1%

Viktor Hovland

$1,374 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$37 Vol.

1%

Jacob Bridgeman

$205 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$37 Vol.

1%

Brian Campbell

$184 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$37 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$634 Vol.

1%

Lucas Glover

$184 Vol.

1%

Ben Griffin

$37 Vol.

1%

Harry Hall

$134 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$384 Vol.

1%

Ryo Hisatsune

$124 Vol.

1%

Tom Hoge

$374 Vol.

1%

Michael Kim

$131 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$465 Vol.

1%

Patrick Rodgers

$371 Vol.

1%

Nick Taylor

$121 Vol.

1%

Joel Dahmen

$364 Vol.

1%

Nicolas Echavarria

$702 Vol.

1%

Taylor Moore

$121 Vol.

1%

Max Greyserman

$121 Vol.

1%

Alexander Noren

$121 Vol.

1%

Sam Stevens

$121 Vol.

1%

Austin Smotherman

$114 Vol.

1%

Michael Thorbjornsen

$111 Vol.

1%

Daniel Bennett

$524 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$37 Vol.

10%

Bud Cauley

$184 Vol.

10%

Ryan Gerard

$19,938 Vol.

10%

Robert MacIntyre

$38 Vol.

10%

Tony Finau

$872 Vol.

<1%

Hao-Tong Li

$114 Vol.

10%

Andrew Putnam

$121 Vol.

9%

Andrew Novak

$121 Vol.

11%

Taylor Pendrith

$135 Vol.

10%

Jordan Spieth

$184 Vol.

9%

J.J. Spaun

$42 Vol.

9%

Chris Kirk

$121 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$95,298
End Date
Mar 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 12:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

Market icon

Will Russell Henley finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

53%
Market icon

Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

51%
Market icon

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

91%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 76+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Kirk" at 36%, followed by "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" has generated $95.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner," browse the 76+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" is "Chris Kirk" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.