Republican incumbent Bryan Steil holds an edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+2 partisan voter index and consistent nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Republican column. Steil faces a minor primary challenge but benefits from name recognition and recent internal polling that shows him ahead of leading Democratic contenders such as Mitchell Berman. Democrats are consolidating a primary field ahead of their August 11 contest, yet the district’s modest Republican tilt and the incumbent’s established fundraising and committee role have anchored trader consensus around a GOP victory. Upcoming primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still narrow the gap before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
62%
Democratic Party
37%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$558 거래량
62%
Democratic Party
$402 거래량
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bryan Steil holds an edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+2 partisan voter index and consistent nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Republican column. Steil faces a minor primary challenge but benefits from name recognition and recent internal polling that shows him ahead of leading Democratic contenders such as Mitchell Berman. Democrats are consolidating a primary field ahead of their August 11 contest, yet the district’s modest Republican tilt and the incumbent’s established fundraising and committee role have anchored trader consensus around a GOP victory. Upcoming primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$960종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bryan Steil holds an edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+2 partisan voter index and consistent nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Republican column. Steil faces a minor primary challenge but benefits from name recognition and recent internal polling that shows him ahead of leading Democratic contenders such as Mitchell Berman. Democrats are consolidating a primary field ahead of their August 11 contest, yet the district’s modest Republican tilt and the incumbent’s established fundraising and committee role have anchored trader consensus around a GOP victory. Upcoming primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$960종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bryan Steil holds an edge in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s R+2 partisan voter index and consistent nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Republican column. Steil faces a minor primary challenge but benefits from name recognition and recent internal polling that shows him ahead of leading Democratic contenders such as Mitchell Berman. Democrats are consolidating a primary field ahead of their August 11 contest, yet the district’s modest Republican tilt and the incumbent’s established fundraising and committee role have anchored trader consensus around a GOP victory. Upcoming primary outcomes and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still narrow the gap before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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