The incumbent Republican Bryan Steil's established position and the district's R+2 partisan voter index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party in the 2026 Wisconsin House race. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Randy Bryce and Mitchell Berman, have entered the August 11 contest, creating uncertainty over which nominee will emerge to challenge Steil in the general election. A recent March poll showed a hypothetical matchup remaining within single digits, reflecting the competitive dynamics in this swing-leaning seat. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary results could shift probabilities if a well-funded challenger consolidates support or if national midterm trends intensify focus on the race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
48%
Democratic Party
43%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$558 거래량
48%
Democratic Party
$402 거래량
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican Bryan Steil's established position and the district's R+2 partisan voter index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party in the 2026 Wisconsin House race. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Randy Bryce and Mitchell Berman, have entered the August 11 contest, creating uncertainty over which nominee will emerge to challenge Steil in the general election. A recent March poll showed a hypothetical matchup remaining within single digits, reflecting the competitive dynamics in this swing-leaning seat. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary results could shift probabilities if a well-funded challenger consolidates support or if national midterm trends intensify focus on the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$960종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican Bryan Steil's established position and the district's R+2 partisan voter index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party in the 2026 Wisconsin House race. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Randy Bryce and Mitchell Berman, have entered the August 11 contest, creating uncertainty over which nominee will emerge to challenge Steil in the general election. A recent March poll showed a hypothetical matchup remaining within single digits, reflecting the competitive dynamics in this swing-leaning seat. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary results could shift probabilities if a well-funded challenger consolidates support or if national midterm trends intensify focus on the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$960종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The incumbent Republican Bryan Steil's established position and the district's R+2 partisan voter index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican Party in the 2026 Wisconsin House race. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Randy Bryce and Mitchell Berman, have entered the August 11 contest, creating uncertainty over which nominee will emerge to challenge Steil in the general election. A recent March poll showed a hypothetical matchup remaining within single digits, reflecting the competitive dynamics in this swing-leaning seat. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary results could shift probabilities if a well-funded challenger consolidates support or if national midterm trends intensify focus on the race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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