Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner maintains a strong position heading into the 2026 Virginia Senate election, with May polling showing him leading Republican contenders by margins exceeding 25 points. Virginia's recent electoral trends and the state's Democratic tilt in federal races underpin trader assessments of the race as solidly favoring the incumbent seeking a fourth term. Nonpartisan ratings reflect this dynamic, while the August primary and November general election remain key checkpoints. Factors that could shift probabilities include late-campaign developments, candidate health issues, or broader national political changes before voters decide.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
$7,930 거래량
93%
Republican
$1,118 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner maintains a strong position heading into the 2026 Virginia Senate election, with May polling showing him leading Republican contenders by margins exceeding 25 points. Virginia's recent electoral trends and the state's Democratic tilt in federal races underpin trader assessments of the race as solidly favoring the incumbent seeking a fourth term. Nonpartisan ratings reflect this dynamic, while the August primary and November general election remain key checkpoints. Factors that could shift probabilities include late-campaign developments, candidate health issues, or broader national political changes before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$9,048종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner maintains a strong position heading into the 2026 Virginia Senate election, with May polling showing him leading Republican contenders by margins exceeding 25 points. Virginia's recent electoral trends and the state's Democratic tilt in federal races underpin trader assessments of the race as solidly favoring the incumbent seeking a fourth term. Nonpartisan ratings reflect this dynamic, while the August primary and November general election remain key checkpoints. Factors that could shift probabilities include late-campaign developments, candidate health issues, or broader national political changes before voters decide.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$9,048종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner maintains a strong position heading into the 2026 Virginia Senate election, with May polling showing him leading Republican contenders by margins exceeding 25 points. Virginia's recent electoral trends and the state's Democratic tilt in federal races underpin trader assessments of the race as solidly favoring the incumbent seeking a fourth term. Nonpartisan ratings reflect this dynamic, while the August primary and November general election remain key checkpoints. Factors that could shift probabilities include late-campaign developments, candidate health issues, or broader national political changes before voters decide.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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