Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Recent May 2026 polls show Warner ahead by 25 points or more against potential Republican opponents such as Kim Farington or others, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Virginia’s political environment, including Democratic gains in the 2025 gubernatorial election, combined with Warner’s established record and fundraising advantage, underpins this positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Competitive factors that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or a significant national partisan shift within the next six months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
93%
Republican
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
$7,930 거래량
93%
Republican
$1,118 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Recent May 2026 polls show Warner ahead by 25 points or more against potential Republican opponents such as Kim Farington or others, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Virginia’s political environment, including Democratic gains in the 2025 gubernatorial election, combined with Warner’s established record and fundraising advantage, underpins this positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Competitive factors that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or a significant national partisan shift within the next six months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$9,048종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Recent May 2026 polls show Warner ahead by 25 points or more against potential Republican opponents such as Kim Farington or others, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Virginia’s political environment, including Democratic gains in the 2025 gubernatorial election, combined with Warner’s established record and fundraising advantage, underpins this positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Competitive factors that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or a significant national partisan shift within the next six months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$9,048종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Recent May 2026 polls show Warner ahead by 25 points or more against potential Republican opponents such as Kim Farington or others, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Virginia’s political environment, including Democratic gains in the 2025 gubernatorial election, combined with Warner’s established record and fundraising advantage, underpins this positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Competitive factors that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong Republican primary performance or a significant national partisan shift within the next six months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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