The solidly Republican character of Michigan’s 5th congressional district, anchored by a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential and House elections, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Tim Walberg benefits from name recognition, an established fundraising edge, and the absence of any high-profile Democratic challenger ahead of the August 4 primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited path-to-victory options for Democrats in a district that spans conservative southern Michigan counties. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national midterm wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,654 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$801 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Michigan’s 5th congressional district, anchored by a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential and House elections, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Tim Walberg benefits from name recognition, an established fundraising edge, and the absence of any high-profile Democratic challenger ahead of the August 4 primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited path-to-victory options for Democrats in a district that spans conservative southern Michigan counties. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national midterm wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$3,455종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Michigan’s 5th congressional district, anchored by a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential and House elections, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Tim Walberg benefits from name recognition, an established fundraising edge, and the absence of any high-profile Democratic challenger ahead of the August 4 primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited path-to-victory options for Democrats in a district that spans conservative southern Michigan counties. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national midterm wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,455종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Michigan’s 5th congressional district, anchored by a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential and House elections, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Tim Walberg benefits from name recognition, an established fundraising edge, and the absence of any high-profile Democratic challenger ahead of the August 4 primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited path-to-victory options for Democrats in a district that spans conservative southern Michigan counties. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national midterm wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have surfaced in recent months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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