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イラン当局者は2月28日までにホワイトハウスを訪問するか?

Market icon

イラン当局者は2月28日までにホワイトハウスを訪問するか?

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$31,075 Vol.

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$31,075 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying officials must be formal representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran, including but not limited to ministers, ambassadors, diplomats, envoys, or senior advisors officially affiliated with the Iranian government.

The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$31,075
終了日
Feb 28, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying officials must be formal representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran, including but not limited to ministers, ambassadors, diplomats, envoys, or senior advisors officially affiliated with the Iranian government. The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying officials must be formal representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran, including but not limited to ministers, ambassadors, diplomats, envoys, or senior advisors officially affiliated with the Iranian government.

The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$31,075
終了日
Feb 28, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying officials must be formal representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran, including but not limited to ministers, ambassadors, diplomats, envoys, or senior advisors officially affiliated with the Iranian government. The visit must take place on White House grounds. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

" イラン当局者は2月28日までにホワイトハウスを訪問するか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2月28日までにイラン当局者がホワイトハウスを訪問しますか?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " イラン当局者は2月28日までにホワイトハウスを訪問するか?" has generated $31.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " イラン当局者は2月28日までにホワイトハウスを訪問するか?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for " イラン当局者は2月28日までにホワイトハウスを訪問するか?" is "2月28日までにイラン当局者がホワイトハウスを訪問しますか?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for " イラン当局者は2月28日までにホワイトハウスを訪問するか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.