Gold futures (GC) are trading around $2,660 per ounce amid heightened safe-haven demand from escalating Middle East tensions and sustained central bank purchases, particularly from China, which drove a surge past $2,700 last week before profit-taking on hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric tempered gains. Real yields on 10-year Treasuries climbing to 4.2% and a firmer U.S. dollar—bolstered by strong January nonfarm payrolls adding 353,000 jobs—have capped upside, reflecting trader consensus pricing in delayed Fed rate cuts. Key catalysts ahead include February CPI data on March 12 and the FOMC meeting March 18-19, where persistent inflation above 2.5% could pressure gold below key support at $2,600, while softer readings might propel it toward all-time highs by month-end. Prediction markets aggregate real-money bets implying tight odds on breaching elevated price targets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ゴールド( GC )は3月末までに__を達成しますか?
ゴールド( GC )は3月末までに__を達成しますか?
$2,678,116 Vol.
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000ドル
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↓ $4,300
23%
↓ $4,000
4%
↓ $3,600
2%
↓ 3,000ドル
<1%
$2,678,116 Vol.
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ 6,000ドル
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
1%
↑ $5,400
1%
↓ $4,300
23%
↓ $4,000
4%
↓ $3,600
2%
↓ 3,000ドル
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) are trading around $2,660 per ounce amid heightened safe-haven demand from escalating Middle East tensions and sustained central bank purchases, particularly from China, which drove a surge past $2,700 last week before profit-taking on hawkish Federal Reserve rhetoric tempered gains. Real yields on 10-year Treasuries climbing to 4.2% and a firmer U.S. dollar—bolstered by strong January nonfarm payrolls adding 353,000 jobs—have capped upside, reflecting trader consensus pricing in delayed Fed rate cuts. Key catalysts ahead include February CPI data on March 12 and the FOMC meeting March 18-19, where persistent inflation above 2.5% could pressure gold below key support at $2,600, while softer readings might propel it toward all-time highs by month-end. Prediction markets aggregate real-money bets implying tight odds on breaching elevated price targets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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