Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors powerhouse KPop acts like BTS and SEVENTEEN for 2026 song releases, with implied probabilities above 80%, propelled by BTS's staggered military discharges culminating in Jungkook's late-2026 completion, paving the way for a full-group comeback after their 2025 reunion album. BLACKPINK's recent YG contract renewal for group activities and Stray Kids' aggressive JYP expansion further bolster odds, amid industry dynamics of 4-7 year contracts and quarterly comeback cycles. However, uncertainties loom from potential hiatuses, scandals, or subgroup pivots—watch HYBE and SM year-end investor calls and MAMA Awards for subtle schedule hints that could swing markets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日どのKPopグループが2026年に曲をリリースしますか？
どのKPopグループが2026年に曲をリリースしますか？
$42,863 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Twice
85%
Illit
79%
Itzy
78%
Babymonster
58%
ル セラフィム
60%
NewJeans
49%
$42,863 Vol.
Twice
$0 Vol.
85%
Illit
$0 Vol.
79%
Itzy
$0 Vol.
78%
Babymonster
$0 Vol.
58%
ル セラフィム
$0 Vol.
60%
NewJeans
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
音量
$42,863終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
音量
$42,863終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors powerhouse KPop acts like BTS and SEVENTEEN for 2026 song releases, with implied probabilities above 80%, propelled by BTS's staggered military discharges culminating in Jungkook's late-2026 completion, paving the way for a full-group comeback after their 2025 reunion album. BLACKPINK's recent YG contract renewal for group activities and Stray Kids' aggressive JYP expansion further bolster odds, amid industry dynamics of 4-7 year contracts and quarterly comeback cycles. However, uncertainties loom from potential hiatuses, scandals, or subgroup pivots—watch HYBE and SM year-end investor calls and MAMA Awards for subtle schedule hints that could swing markets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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