Market icon

オリヴィア・ロドリゴがニューアルバムを発表するのは... ？

Market icon

オリヴィア・ロドリゴがニューアルバムを発表するのは... ？

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$4,551 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$3,249 Vol.

8%

April 30

$1,317 Vol.

76%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not.

The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).
音量
$4,551
終了日
Apr 30, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 18, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially announces a new album between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Olivia Rodrigo is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not. The resolution source will be Olivia Rodrigo’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).

Trader sentiment for Olivia Rodrigo announcing a new album leans bearish, with market-implied odds hovering below 30% as her GUTS World Tour dominates her schedule through mid-2025, delaying studio time per industry patterns for young pop stars post-major releases. No official announcements have surfaced from Rodrigo or Geffen Records since GUTS dropped in September 2023, despite fan speculation fueled by cryptic social media posts and festival appearances. Historical precedents like Taylor Swift's rapid cycles contrast with Rodrigo's deliberate pacing, prioritizing live revenue amid streaming slowdowns. Key watch: tour wrap-up dates and potential Coachella 2025 slots, which could signal new music teases before year-end deadlines.

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よくある質問

「オリヴィア・ロドリゴがニューアルバムを発表するのは... ？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「April 30」で76%、次いで「March 31」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、76¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に76%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「オリヴィア・ロドリゴがニューアルバムを発表するのは... ？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 18, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「オリヴィア・ロドリゴがニューアルバムを発表するのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「オリヴィア・ロドリゴがニューアルバムを発表するのは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「April 30」で76%であり、市場がこの結果に76%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「March 31」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「オリヴィア・ロドリゴがニューアルバムを発表するのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。