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icon for ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

icon for ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

$379,587 Vol.

2026/05/14
Polymarket

$379,587 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for デンマーク

デンマーク

$8,866 Vol.

100%

icon for オーストラリア

オーストラリア

$20,526 Vol.

99%

icon for ウクライナ

ウクライナ

$8,320 Vol.

98%

icon for ルーマニア

ルーマニア

$13,529 Vol.

95%

icon for マルタ

マルタ

$20,967 Vol.

84%

icon for ブルガリア

ブルガリア

$12,846 Vol.

82%

icon for アルバニア

アルバニア

$41,599 Vol.

80%

icon for チェコ

チェコ

$54,870 Vol.

78%

icon for キプロス

キプロス

$34,138 Vol.

76%

icon for ノルウェー

ノルウェー

$22,614 Vol.

55%

icon for スイス

スイス

$77,684 Vol.

45%

icon for ラトビア

ラトビア

$8,738 Vol.

39%

icon for アルメニア

アルメニア

$17,322 Vol.

32%

icon for ルクセンブルク

ルクセンブルク

$26,349 Vol.

29%

icon for アゼルバイジャン

アゼルバイジャン

$11,218 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Following yesterday's first semi-final results, where frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" and Croatia's "Andromeda" secured qualification alongside eight others to join the Big Five and host Austria in the May 16 grand final, trader sentiment for the second semi-final hinges on recent second rehearsal clips released over the past 48 hours. Standouts include Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with emotive staging for "Før vi går hjem," Australia's powerhouse entry, Ukraine's resilient performance, and Romania's edgy "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu, boosting implied qualification probabilities amid a bloodbath field of 15 acts opening with Bulgaria's DARA in the Wiener Stadthalle running order. Israel's polarizing entry fuels volatility and potential televote swings, while juries favor polished productions; the May 14 showdown could see upsets in this historically unpredictable semi.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$379,587
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Following yesterday's first semi-final results, where frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" and Croatia's "Andromeda" secured qualification alongside eight others to join the Big Five and host Austria in the May 16 grand final, trader sentiment for the second semi-final hinges on recent second rehearsal clips released over the past 48 hours. Standouts include Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with emotive staging for "Før vi går hjem," Australia's powerhouse entry, Ukraine's resilient performance, and Romania's edgy "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu, boosting implied qualification probabilities amid a bloodbath field of 15 acts opening with Bulgaria's DARA in the Wiener Stadthalle running order. Israel's polarizing entry fuels volatility and potential televote swings, while juries favor polished productions; the May 14 showdown could see upsets in this historically unpredictable semi.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$379,587
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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よくある質問

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「デンマーク」で100%、次いで「オーストラリア」が99%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」は$379.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」の現在のフロントランナーは「デンマーク」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「オーストラリア」で99%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。