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ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

Market icon

ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

$46,928 Vol.

2026/05/14
Polymarket

$46,928 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

デンマーク

$315 Vol.

95%

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ウクライナ

$979 Vol.

91%

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オーストラリア

$11,034 Vol.

90%

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ブルガリア

$4,968 Vol.

82%

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マルタ

$345 Vol.

76%

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ルーマニア

$5,136 Vol.

76%

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キプロス

$0 Vol.

76%

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アルバニア

$0 Vol.

71%

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チェコ

$0 Vol.

71%

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ノルウェー

$2,215 Vol.

65%

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ラトビア

$0 Vol.

55%

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ルクセンブルク

$3,895 Vol.

47%

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スイス

$6,172 Vol.

36%

Market icon

アルメニア

$10,118 Vol.

30%

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アゼルバイジャン

$1,750 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With all 35 Eurovision 2026 entrants confirmed following March national finals like Romania's jury-favored "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu and Portugal's televote winner, the second semi-final lineup of 15 countries—spanning Armenia to Ukraine—is now locked for May 14 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. Trader consensus mirrors bookmaker odds positioning Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") as frontrunner to qualify top among a stacked field featuring Delta Goodrem's Australian star power ("Eclipse") and Ukraine's diaspora-backed "Ridnym" by Leléka, buoyed by strong preview streams and Denmark's televote history. Imminent running order reveal and late-April Vienna rehearsals could shift momentum via staging reveals and jury previews, underscoring the contest's volatile mix of public hype and guild-like voter dynamics.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$46,928
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With all 35 Eurovision 2026 entrants confirmed following March national finals like Romania's jury-favored "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu and Portugal's televote winner, the second semi-final lineup of 15 countries—spanning Armenia to Ukraine—is now locked for May 14 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. Trader consensus mirrors bookmaker odds positioning Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") as frontrunner to qualify top among a stacked field featuring Delta Goodrem's Australian star power ("Eclipse") and Ukraine's diaspora-backed "Ridnym" by Leléka, buoyed by strong preview streams and Denmark's televote history. Imminent running order reveal and late-April Vienna rehearsals could shift momentum via staging reveals and jury previews, underscoring the contest's volatile mix of public hype and guild-like voter dynamics.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$46,928
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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よくある質問

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「デンマーク」で95%、次いで「ウクライナ」が91%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」は$46.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」の現在のフロントランナーは「デンマーク」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ウクライナ」で91%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。