Market icon

2月末に最高のAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?

Market icon

2月末に最高のAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?

Anthropic 100.0%

ムーンショット <1%

アリババ <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$22,455,002 Vol.

Anthropic 100.0%

ムーンショット <1%

アリババ <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$22,455,002 Vol.

Market icon

ムーンショット

$1,093,586 Vol.

いいえ

Market icon

アリババ

$1,251,086 Vol.

いいえ

Market icon

Google

$4,148,202 Vol.

いいえ

Market icon

Anthropic

$3,765,478 Vol.

はい

Market icon

DeepSeek

$2,460,051 Vol.

いいえ

Market icon

OpenAI

$2,675,921 Vol.

いいえ

Market icon

Baidu

$831,685 Vol.

いいえ

Market icon

Z.ai

$947,432 Vol.

いいえ

Market icon

xAI

$3,123,320 Vol.

いいえ

Market icon

美団

$1,467,117 Vol.

いいえ

Market icon

Mistral

$691,124 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$22,455,002
終了日
Feb 28, 2026
マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2月末に最高のAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "ムーンショット" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2月末に最高のAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?" has generated $22.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2月末に最高のAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2月末に最高のAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?" is "Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ムーンショット" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2月末に最高のAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.