Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a strong tilt toward the Hang Seng Index (HSI) hitting elevated levels in March, fueled primarily by optimism surrounding China's Two Sessions starting March 4, where policymakers are expected to unveil aggressive fiscal stimulus and property sector relief amid sluggish growth. The index has rallied over 20% in February alone to around 16,500, reflecting PBOC liquidity injections and mainland investor inflows via Stock Connect, reversing January lows near 14,800. Key risks include disappointing economic data releases like March PMI on the 31st and the FOMC meeting on March 20, where hawkish dot plots could spur risk-off flows; watch for HSI breaching 17,000 as a bullish threshold amid heightened volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
Apr 1, 2026
↓ 20700
3%
↓ 20400
1%
↓ 20100
5%
↓ 19,650
2%
↓ 19200
36%
↓ 18600
2%
↓ 17850
3%
$744 Vol.
↓ 20700
$0 Vol.
3%
↓ 20400
$0 Vol.
1%
↓ 20100
$0 Vol.
5%
↓ 19,650
$354 Vol.
2%
↓ 19200
$0 Vol.
36%
↓ 18600
$390 Vol.
2%
↓ 17850
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
音量
$744終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EHSI/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.
音量
$744終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EHSI/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a strong tilt toward the Hang Seng Index (HSI) hitting elevated levels in March, fueled primarily by optimism surrounding China's Two Sessions starting March 4, where policymakers are expected to unveil aggressive fiscal stimulus and property sector relief amid sluggish growth. The index has rallied over 20% in February alone to around 16,500, reflecting PBOC liquidity injections and mainland investor inflows via Stock Connect, reversing January lows near 14,800. Key risks include disappointing economic data releases like March PMI on the 31st and the FOMC meeting on March 20, where hawkish dot plots could spur risk-off flows; watch for HSI breaching 17,000 as a bullish threshold amid heightened volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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