米国がイランを攻撃したのは... ？
$270,418,648 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
2月16日
$4,572,206 Vol.
<1%
2月17日
$1,561,767 Vol.
1%
2月18日
$697,069 Vol.
2%
2月19日
$477,413 Vol.
4%
2月20日
$4,149,599 Vol.
6%
2月21日
$10,094 Vol.
7%
2月22日
$9,929 Vol.
10%
2月23日
$3,165 Vol.
10%
2月24日
$2,296 Vol.
13%
2月25日
$477 Vol.
14%
2月26日
$191 Vol.
15%
2月27日
$3,177 Vol.
15%
2月28日
$17,878,893 Vol.
19%
3月15日
$379,104 Vol.
31%
3月31日
$9,533,390 Vol.
39%
6月30日
$5,356,821 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
作成日： Feb 11, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
音量
$270,418,648終了日
Jun 30, 2026作成日時
Feb 11, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...米国がイランを攻撃したのは... ？
$270,418,648 Vol.
2月16日
$4,572,206 Vol.
<1%
2月17日
$1,561,767 Vol.
1%
2月18日
$697,069 Vol.
2%
2月19日
$477,413 Vol.
4%
2月20日
$4,149,599 Vol.
6%
2月21日
$10,094 Vol.
7%
2月22日
$9,929 Vol.
10%
2月23日
$3,165 Vol.
10%
2月24日
$2,296 Vol.
13%
2月25日
$477 Vol.
14%
2月26日
$191 Vol.
15%
2月27日
$3,177 Vol.
15%
2月28日
$17,878,893 Vol.
19%
3月15日
$379,104 Vol.
31%
3月31日
$9,533,390 Vol.
39%
6月30日
$5,356,821 Vol.
51%
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