Strong trader consensus around a 93.8% implied probability of no acquisition before 2027 reflects OpenAI’s recent record $122 billion funding round closed in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, backed by Amazon, NVIDIA, SoftBank, and Microsoft. The company has continued its role as acquirer, completing multiple deals in developer tooling and AI infrastructure throughout 2026 while advancing large language model capabilities and enterprise offerings. This capital infusion and operational independence reduce near-term sale incentives, aligning with broader industry patterns where top AI labs pursue standalone growth or IPO paths ahead of potential regulatory scrutiny. Key swing factors include any future capital needs or strategic pivots that could reopen acquisition discussions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Strong trader consensus around a 93.8% implied probability of no acquisition before 2027 reflects OpenAI’s recent record $122 billion funding round closed in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, backed by Amazon, NVIDIA, SoftBank, and Microsoft. The company has continued its role as acquirer, completing multiple deals in developer tooling and AI infrastructure throughout 2026 while advancing large language model capabilities and enterprise offerings. This capital infusion and operational independence reduce near-term sale incentives, aligning with broader industry patterns where top AI labs pursue standalone growth or IPO paths ahead of potential regulatory scrutiny. Key swing factors include any future capital needs or strategic pivots that could reopen acquisition discussions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET
音量
$3,252終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Strong trader consensus around a 93.8% implied probability of no acquisition before 2027 reflects OpenAI’s recent record $122 billion funding round closed in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, backed by Amazon, NVIDIA, SoftBank, and Microsoft. The company has continued its role as acquirer, completing multiple deals in developer tooling and AI infrastructure throughout 2026 while advancing large language model capabilities and enterprise offerings. This capital infusion and operational independence reduce near-term sale incentives, aligning with broader industry patterns where top AI labs pursue standalone growth or IPO paths ahead of potential regulatory scrutiny. Key swing factors include any future capital needs or strategic pivots that could reopen acquisition discussions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$3,252終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong trader consensus around a 93.8% implied probability of no acquisition before 2027 reflects OpenAI’s recent record $122 billion funding round closed in March 2026 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, backed by Amazon, NVIDIA, SoftBank, and Microsoft. The company has continued its role as acquirer, completing multiple deals in developer tooling and AI infrastructure throughout 2026 while advancing large language model capabilities and enterprise offerings. This capital infusion and operational independence reduce near-term sale incentives, aligning with broader industry patterns where top AI labs pursue standalone growth or IPO paths ahead of potential regulatory scrutiny. Key swing factors include any future capital needs or strategic pivots that could reopen acquisition discussions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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