Alibaba’s strong third-place positioning on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, driven by Qwen3.8-Max’s 1681 score behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 variants, underpins the 57.5% market-implied odds for third-best lab by end-September. The crowdsourced Elo system rewards agentic web-app building with multi-step reasoning and tool use, where Alibaba’s models deliver competitive performance at significantly lower cost than frontier U.S. entries. Recent September updates have stabilized the top three while Chinese labs including Moonshot and Z.ai narrow gaps in the broader field. Any new model releases or rapid leaderboard shifts before month-end remain the main swing factors for traders assessing whether Alibaba holds or loses the bronze spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アリババ 57%
スペースXAI 23.9%
Moonshot 13%
Anthropic 3.0%
$42,111 Vol.
$42,111 Vol.

アリババ
57%

スペースXAI
24%

Moonshot
13%

Anthropic
3%

Z.ai
2%

2%

DeepSeek
1%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
1%

MiniMax
1%

シャオミ
<1%

Poolside
<1%

Meta
<1%

テンセント
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Thinky
<1%
アリババ 57%
スペースXAI 23.9%
Moonshot 13%
Anthropic 3.0%
$42,111 Vol.
$42,111 Vol.

アリババ
57%

スペースXAI
24%

Moonshot
13%

Anthropic
3%

Z.ai
2%

2%

DeepSeek
1%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
1%

MiniMax
1%

シャオミ
<1%

Poolside
<1%

Meta
<1%

テンセント
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Thinky
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Alibaba’s strong third-place positioning on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, driven by Qwen3.8-Max’s 1681 score behind OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 variants, underpins the 57.5% market-implied odds for third-best lab by end-September. The crowdsourced Elo system rewards agentic web-app building with multi-step reasoning and tool use, where Alibaba’s models deliver competitive performance at significantly lower cost than frontier U.S. entries. Recent September updates have stabilized the top three while Chinese labs including Moonshot and Z.ai narrow gaps in the broader field. Any new model releases or rapid leaderboard shifts before month-end remain the main swing factors for traders assessing whether Alibaba holds or loses the bronze spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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