Rep. Kevin Hern dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Oklahoma's Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by his January 2025 campaign launch as a Trump-aligned challenger highlighting incumbent Sen. James Lankford's controversial bipartisan border security vote from earlier in the year. Hern's early fundraising success—over $2 million raised in the first quarter—and endorsements from conservative groups have solidified his frontrunner status, while other candidates like John M. O’Connor and Nick Hankins trail far behind with minimal polling support or visibility. No major shifts in the past week, though the June 2026 primary filing deadline could introduce new entrants; late scandals or Lankford's counter-mobilization remain low-probability risks to Hern's lead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ケビン・ハーン 89%
ニック・ハンキンス 5.4%
ジョン・M・オコナー 2.8%
ウェイン・ロニー・ワシントン 1.6%
ケビン・ハーン
89%
ニック・ハンキンス
5%
ジョン・M・オコナー
3%
ウェイン・ロニー・ワシントン
2%
ステファニー・バイス
1%
マット・ピンネル
1%
マークウェイン・マリン
1%
タミー・スウェアリンジェン
1%
ロン・マインハルト
1%
ドネル・ハーダー
<1%
ケビン・ハーン 89%
ニック・ハンキンス 5.4%
ジョン・M・オコナー 2.8%
ウェイン・ロニー・ワシントン 1.6%
ケビン・ハーン
89%
ニック・ハンキンス
5%
ジョン・M・オコナー
3%
ウェイン・ロニー・ワシントン
2%
ステファニー・バイス
1%
マット・ピンネル
1%
マークウェイン・マリン
1%
タミー・スウェアリンジェン
1%
ロン・マインハルト
1%
ドネル・ハーダー
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
マーケット開始日： Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern dominates trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability to win Oklahoma's Republican U.S. Senate primary, driven by his January 2025 campaign launch as a Trump-aligned challenger highlighting incumbent Sen. James Lankford's controversial bipartisan border security vote from earlier in the year. Hern's early fundraising success—over $2 million raised in the first quarter—and endorsements from conservative groups have solidified his frontrunner status, while other candidates like John M. O’Connor and Nick Hankins trail far behind with minimal polling support or visibility. No major shifts in the past week, though the June 2026 primary filing deadline could introduce new entrants; late scandals or Lankford's counter-mobilization remain low-probability risks to Hern's lead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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