The Nasdaq 100 index surged to a record close of 26,672 on April 17, propelled by blockbuster Q1 earnings from AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside sustained capital expenditure in artificial intelligence and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance. Analyst consensus forecasts cluster around 30,000–35,000 by year-end 2026, implying robust revenue growth and margin expansion in mega-cap tech amid favorable monetary conditions and Treasury yields near 4%. Recent 6.8% weekly gains reflect trader optimism on earnings beats offsetting inflation concerns, though volatility risks linger from profit-taking. Watch ongoing Q1 reports through late April and the May FOMC for shifts in market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
38,000ドル超
28%
33,000ドル超
8%
30,000ドル超
17%
27,000ドル超
31%
24,000ドル超
49%
19,000ドル超
87%
$7,811 Vol.
38,000ドル超
$1,459 Vol.
28%
33,000ドル超
$1,650 Vol.
8%
30,000ドル超
$770 Vol.
17%
27,000ドル超
$1,300 Vol.
31%
24,000ドル超
$1,240 Vol.
49%
19,000ドル超
$1,392 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 index surged to a record close of 26,672 on April 17, propelled by blockbuster Q1 earnings from AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside sustained capital expenditure in artificial intelligence and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance. Analyst consensus forecasts cluster around 30,000–35,000 by year-end 2026, implying robust revenue growth and margin expansion in mega-cap tech amid favorable monetary conditions and Treasury yields near 4%. Recent 6.8% weekly gains reflect trader optimism on earnings beats offsetting inflation concerns, though volatility risks linger from profit-taking. Watch ongoing Q1 reports through late April and the May FOMC for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
音量
$7,811終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 index surged to a record close of 26,672 on April 17, propelled by blockbuster Q1 earnings from AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside sustained capital expenditure in artificial intelligence and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance. Analyst consensus forecasts cluster around 30,000–35,000 by year-end 2026, implying robust revenue growth and margin expansion in mega-cap tech amid favorable monetary conditions and Treasury yields near 4%. Recent 6.8% weekly gains reflect trader optimism on earnings beats offsetting inflation concerns, though volatility risks linger from profit-taking. Watch ongoing Q1 reports through late April and the May FOMC for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$7,811終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETThe Nasdaq 100 index surged to a record close of 26,672 on April 17, propelled by blockbuster Q1 earnings from AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, alongside sustained capital expenditure in artificial intelligence and a steady Federal Reserve policy stance. Analyst consensus forecasts cluster around 30,000–35,000 by year-end 2026, implying robust revenue growth and margin expansion in mega-cap tech amid favorable monetary conditions and Treasury yields near 4%. Recent 6.8% weekly gains reflect trader optimism on earnings beats offsetting inflation concerns, though volatility risks linger from profit-taking. Watch ongoing Q1 reports through late April and the May FOMC for shifts in market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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