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財務·NDX

Nasdaq 100 （ NDX ）は12月に何を締めくくりますか？

Market icon
財務·NDX

Nasdaq 100 （ NDX ）は12月に何を締めくくりますか？

Dec 31

Dec 31

25,000～26,500ドル 42%

23,500～25,000ドル 40%

$26,500〜$28,500 40%

30,500～33,000ドル 40%

Polymarket
NEW

25,000～26,500ドル 42%

23,500～25,000ドル 40%

$26,500〜$28,500 40%

30,500～33,000ドル 40%

Polymarket
NEW

$23,500未満

$0 Vol.

35%

23,500～25,000ドル

$0 Vol.

40%

25,000～26,500ドル

$0 Vol.

42%

$26,500〜$28,500

$0 Vol.

40%

28,500～30,500ドル

$0 Vol.

41%

30,500～33,000ドル

$0 Vol.

40%

33,000〜36,000ドル

$0 Vol.

40%

36,000ドル超

$0 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested year-end Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above $33,000, with >$36,000 and $33,000-$36,000 bins at 43.7% and 43.0% implied probabilities, respectively, amid tight competition from mid-range outcomes like $25,000-$26,500 (41.0%). This reflects recent NDX plunge to a March 27 close of 23,132—its largest weekly loss since April—triggered by Iran war fears spiking oil toward $100 and driving risk-off flows. Differentiating factors pit bullish Q1 2026 tech earnings growth forecasts (+23.7% per Zacks) and AI momentum against steady Fed funds at 3.50%-3.75%, 10-year Treasury yields near 4.4%, and geopolitical risks; key swings hinge on mega-cap reports and May FOMC signals.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested year-end Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above $33,000, with >$36,000 and $33,000-$36,000 bins at 43.7% and 43.0% implied probabilities, respectively, amid tight competition from mid-range outcomes like $25,000-$26,500 (41.0%). This reflects recent NDX plunge to a March 27 close of 23,132—its largest weekly loss since April—triggered by Iran war fears spiking oil toward $100 and driving risk-off flows. Differentiating factors pit bullish Q1 2026 tech earnings growth forecasts (+23.7% per Zacks) and AI momentum against steady Fed funds at 3.50%-3.75%, 10-year Treasury yields near 4.4%, and geopolitical risks; key swings hinge on mega-cap reports and May FOMC signals.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested year-end Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above $33,000, with >$36,000 and $33,000-$36,000 bins at 43.7% and 43.0% implied probabilities, respectively, amid tight competition from mid-range outcomes like $25,000-$26,500 (41.0%). This reflects recent NDX plunge to a March 27 close of 23,132—its largest weekly loss since April—triggered by Iran war fears spiking oil toward $100 and driving risk-off flows. Differentiating factors pit bullish Q1 2026 tech earnings growth forecasts (+23.7% per Zacks) and AI momentum against steady Fed funds at 3.50%-3.75%, 10-year Treasury yields near 4.4%, and geopolitical risks; key swings hinge on mega-cap reports and May FOMC signals.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested year-end Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above $33,000, with >$36,000 and $33,000-$36,000 bins at 43.7% and 43.0% implied probabilities, respectively, amid tight competition from mid-range outcomes like $25,000-$26,500 (41.0%). This reflects recent NDX plunge to a March 27 close of 23,132—its largest weekly loss since April—triggered by Iran war fears spiking oil toward $100 and driving risk-off flows. Differentiating factors pit bullish Q1 2026 tech earnings growth forecasts (+23.7% per Zacks) and AI momentum against steady Fed funds at 3.50%-3.75%, 10-year Treasury yields near 4.4%, and geopolitical risks; key swings hinge on mega-cap reports and May FOMC signals.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Nasdaq 100 （ NDX ）は12月に何を締めくくりますか？」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「25,000～26,500ドル」で42%、次いで「28,500～30,500ドル」が41%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、42¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に42%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Nasdaq 100 （ NDX ）は12月に何を締めくくりますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jan 7, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Nasdaq 100 （ NDX ）は12月に何を締めくくりますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Nasdaq 100 （ NDX ）は12月に何を締めくくりますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「25,000～26,500ドル」で42%であり、市場がこの結果に42%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「28,500～30,500ドル」で41%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Nasdaq 100 （ NDX ）は12月に何を締めくくりますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。