Rep. Ilhan Omar holds 86% trader consensus to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, reflecting her incumbency edge, fundraising dominance exceeding $3 million, and history of primary triumphs, including 56% in 2024 against Don Samuels in this D+32 stronghold. Challenger Latonya Reeves commands 14.5% as the priced-in alternative, positioning as a local-focused labor leader despite minimal resources under $20,000. Recent entrant ex-ICE attorney Julie Le's mid-March filing fragments opposition but fails to erode Omar's lead absent public polls or DFL endorsement shifts. With no major catalysts in the past month, odds emphasize structural barriers to unseating the incumbent ahead of the open primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$15,833 Vol.
$15,833 Vol.
2026/08/11
イルハン・オマル
86%
ラトーニャ・リーブス
15%
$15,833 Vol.
$15,833 Vol.
2026/08/11
イルハン・オマル
$15,833 Vol.
86%
ラトーニャ・リーブス
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rep. Ilhan Omar holds 86% trader consensus to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, reflecting her incumbency edge, fundraising dominance exceeding $3 million, and history of primary triumphs, including 56% in 2024 against Don Samuels in this D+32 stronghold. Challenger Latonya Reeves commands 14.5% as the priced-in alternative, positioning as a local-focused labor leader despite minimal resources under $20,000. Recent entrant ex-ICE attorney Julie Le's mid-March filing fragments opposition but fails to erode Omar's lead absent public polls or DFL endorsement shifts. With no major catalysts in the past month, odds emphasize structural barriers to unseating the incumbent ahead of the open primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
音量
$15,833終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rep. Ilhan Omar holds 86% trader consensus to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, reflecting her incumbency edge, fundraising dominance exceeding $3 million, and history of primary triumphs, including 56% in 2024 against Don Samuels in this D+32 stronghold. Challenger Latonya Reeves commands 14.5% as the priced-in alternative, positioning as a local-focused labor leader despite minimal resources under $20,000. Recent entrant ex-ICE attorney Julie Le's mid-March filing fragments opposition but fails to erode Omar's lead absent public polls or DFL endorsement shifts. With no major catalysts in the past month, odds emphasize structural barriers to unseating the incumbent ahead of the open primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$15,833終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Ilhan Omar holds 86% trader consensus to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, reflecting her incumbency edge, fundraising dominance exceeding $3 million, and history of primary triumphs, including 56% in 2024 against Don Samuels in this D+32 stronghold. Challenger Latonya Reeves commands 14.5% as the priced-in alternative, positioning as a local-focused labor leader despite minimal resources under $20,000. Recent entrant ex-ICE attorney Julie Le's mid-March filing fragments opposition but fails to erode Omar's lead absent public polls or DFL endorsement shifts. With no major catalysts in the past month, odds emphasize structural barriers to unseating the incumbent ahead of the open primary.
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