Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, reflecting her established DFL institutional support, proven fundraising edge, and history of primary victories. The most recent catalyst came on May 11 when Omar secured the party endorsement at the district convention after challenger Latonya Reeves declined to contest it, leaving a split field that includes Reeves and Julie Le. Reeves, a labor leader and former DNC member who launched her bid in November 2025, has positioned herself as a locally focused alternative emphasizing community issues, yet trails significantly in resources and organizational backing. Traders price these dynamics as durable through primary day absent major late developments such as a withdrawal or unexpected surge in challenger support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,993 Vol.
$25,993 Vol.
2026/08/11
イルハン・オマル
89%
ラトーニャ・リーブス
9%
$25,993 Vol.
$25,993 Vol.
2026/08/11
イルハン・オマル
$20,766 Vol.
89%
ラトーニャ・リーブス
$5,227 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, reflecting her established DFL institutional support, proven fundraising edge, and history of primary victories. The most recent catalyst came on May 11 when Omar secured the party endorsement at the district convention after challenger Latonya Reeves declined to contest it, leaving a split field that includes Reeves and Julie Le. Reeves, a labor leader and former DNC member who launched her bid in November 2025, has positioned herself as a locally focused alternative emphasizing community issues, yet trails significantly in resources and organizational backing. Traders price these dynamics as durable through primary day absent major late developments such as a withdrawal or unexpected surge in challenger support.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
音量
$25,993終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, reflecting her established DFL institutional support, proven fundraising edge, and history of primary victories. The most recent catalyst came on May 11 when Omar secured the party endorsement at the district convention after challenger Latonya Reeves declined to contest it, leaving a split field that includes Reeves and Julie Le. Reeves, a labor leader and former DNC member who launched her bid in November 2025, has positioned herself as a locally focused alternative emphasizing community issues, yet trails significantly in resources and organizational backing. Traders price these dynamics as durable through primary day absent major late developments such as a withdrawal or unexpected surge in challenger support.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$25,993終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, reflecting her established DFL institutional support, proven fundraising edge, and history of primary victories. The most recent catalyst came on May 11 when Omar secured the party endorsement at the district convention after challenger Latonya Reeves declined to contest it, leaving a split field that includes Reeves and Julie Le. Reeves, a labor leader and former DNC member who launched her bid in November 2025, has positioned herself as a locally focused alternative emphasizing community issues, yet trails significantly in resources and organizational backing. Traders price these dynamics as durable through primary day absent major late developments such as a withdrawal or unexpected surge in challenger support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問