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Is the Cybertruck manifesto real?

Market icon

Is the Cybertruck manifesto real?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$88,769 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$88,769 Vol.

On January 3, Shawn Ryan posted an alleged manifesto sent by the Cybertruck perp (see: https://x.com/ShawnRyan762/status/1875278600284635341).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger.

This market will resolve to "No" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was not written by Matthew Livelsberger.

This market will resolve once there have been definitive statements from the FBI confirming whether the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger. If there has been no definitive statement by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the FBI believe was most likely based on official statements.
音量
$88,769
終了日
Jan 31, 2025
作成日時
Jan 5, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
On January 3, Shawn Ryan posted an alleged manifesto sent by the Cybertruck perp (see: https://x.com/ShawnRyan762/status/1875278600284635341). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger. This market will resolve to "No" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was not written by Matthew Livelsberger. This market will resolve once there have been definitive statements from the FBI confirming whether the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger. If there has been no definitive statement by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the FBI believe was most likely based on official statements.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

On January 3, Shawn Ryan posted an alleged manifesto sent by the Cybertruck perp (see: https://x.com/ShawnRyan762/status/1875278600284635341).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger.

This market will resolve to "No" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was not written by Matthew Livelsberger.

This market will resolve once there have been definitive statements from the FBI confirming whether the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger. If there has been no definitive statement by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the FBI believe was most likely based on official statements.
音量
$88,769
終了日
Jan 31, 2025
作成日時
Jan 5, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
On January 3, Shawn Ryan posted an alleged manifesto sent by the Cybertruck perp (see: https://x.com/ShawnRyan762/status/1875278600284635341). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger. This market will resolve to "No" if the FBI confirms that the manifesto was not written by Matthew Livelsberger. This market will resolve once there have been definitive statements from the FBI confirming whether the manifesto was written by Matthew Livelsberger. If there has been no definitive statement by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what the FBI believe was most likely based on official statements.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Is the Cybertruck manifesto real?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Is the Cybertruck manifesto real?" has generated $88.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Is the Cybertruck manifesto real?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Is the Cybertruck manifesto real?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Is the Cybertruck manifesto real?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.