Taiwan's Central Weather Administration latest forecasts point to Taipei's high temperature on March 29 reaching 20-27°C under partly cloudy skies following a recent cold frontal passage that capped March 27 highs at 18-20°C, with trader consensus aggregating around 24-25°C as the most probable peaks. This tight clustering of market-implied odds—25°C at 26%, 24°C at 22.5%, and 26°C at 14.5%—reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover, afternoon sea breezes moderating urban heat island effects, and scattered shower risks shown in ensemble models like those from Weather.com (26°C high). Historical March averages hover at 22.7°C, but post-frontal ridging supports mild warming; watch CWA updates through midday March 29 for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
25°C 27%
24°C 24%
26°C 15%
27°C 13%
$162,746 Vol.
$162,746 Vol.
22°C or below
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
15%
27°C
13%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 27%
24°C 24%
26°C 15%
27°C 13%
$162,746 Vol.
$162,746 Vol.
22°C or below
5%
23°C
11%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
15%
27°C
13%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration latest forecasts point to Taipei's high temperature on March 29 reaching 20-27°C under partly cloudy skies following a recent cold frontal passage that capped March 27 highs at 18-20°C, with trader consensus aggregating around 24-25°C as the most probable peaks. This tight clustering of market-implied odds—25°C at 26%, 24°C at 22.5%, and 26°C at 14.5%—reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover, afternoon sea breezes moderating urban heat island effects, and scattered shower risks shown in ensemble models like those from Weather.com (26°C high). Historical March averages hover at 22.7°C, but post-frontal ridging supports mild warming; watch CWA updates through midday March 29 for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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