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3月27日のシアトルの最高気温は？

Market icon

3月27日のシアトルの最高気温は？

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

56～57°F 44%

54～55°F 34%

58～59°F 9.7%

52～53°F 6%

Polymarket

$31,544 Vol.

56～57°F 44%

54～55°F 34%

58～59°F 9.7%

52～53°F 6%

Polymarket

$31,544 Vol.

45°F以下

$5,422 Vol.

<1%

46～47°F

$3,112 Vol.

<1%

48〜49°F

$2,513 Vol.

1%

50〜51°F

$4,935 Vol.

2%

52～53°F

$5,730 Vol.

6%

54～55°F

$1,644 Vol.

34%

56～57°F

$2,824 Vol.

44%

58～59°F

$2,423 Vol.

10%

60～61°F

$1,149 Vol.

3%

62〜63°F

$804 Vol.

1%

64°F以上

$1,227 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Seattle high temperature of 56-57°F (43% implied probability) or 54-55°F (34%), reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models projecting afternoon peaks in the mid-50s under partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. Differentiating factors include variable marine layer persistence, which could cap highs at 54-55°F via low-level stratus clouds, versus brief afternoon clearing allowing 56-59°F via better solar insolation and weak southerly winds mixing warmer air aloft. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows tight clustering around 55-57°F, consistent with climatological March norms (historical average high ~55°F) amid neutral ENSO conditions. New hourly forecasts and morning soundings expected today could refine these odds as resolution nears.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$31,544
終了日
Mar 27, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Seattle high temperature of 56-57°F (43% implied probability) or 54-55°F (34%), reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models projecting afternoon peaks in the mid-50s under partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. Differentiating factors include variable marine layer persistence, which could cap highs at 54-55°F via low-level stratus clouds, versus brief afternoon clearing allowing 56-59°F via better solar insolation and weak southerly winds mixing warmer air aloft. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows tight clustering around 55-57°F, consistent with climatological March norms (historical average high ~55°F) amid neutral ENSO conditions. New hourly forecasts and morning soundings expected today could refine these odds as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Seattle high temperature of 56-57°F (43% implied probability) or 54-55°F (34%), reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models projecting afternoon peaks in the mid-50s under partly cloudy skies and light onshore flow. Differentiating factors include variable marine layer persistence, which could cap highs at 54-55°F via low-level stratus clouds, versus brief afternoon clearing allowing 56-59°F via better solar insolation and weak southerly winds mixing warmer air aloft. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows tight clustering around 55-57°F, consistent with climatological March norms (historical average high ~55°F) amid neutral ENSO conditions. New hourly forecasts and morning soundings expected today could refine these odds as resolution nears.

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よくある質問

「3月27日のシアトルの最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「56～57°F」で44%、次いで「54～55°F」が34%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月27日のシアトルの最高気温は？」は$31.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月27日のシアトルの最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月27日のシアトルの最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「56～57°F」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「54～55°F」で34%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月27日のシアトルの最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。