Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (35.5%) and 29°C (28.0%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and above-climatological warmth. INMET's latest weekly outlook through March 30 notes isolated showers possible in central-western São Paulo but predominantly dry conditions, with recent sunny weather today reaching 28°C and earlier March days hitting 29-32°C in nearby areas after heavy rains and floods around March 8-10. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS leaning slightly warmer at 30-31°C, ECMWF cooler at 29°C—hinged on afternoon cloud development, light winds limiting mixing, and urban heat effects at monitoring stations like Guarulhos Airport. New INMET updates expected today could refine this before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 29?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 29?
30°C 36%
29°C 28%
31°C 19%
28°C 12%
$23,163 Vol.
$23,163 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
28%
30°C
36%
31°C
19%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
29°C 28%
31°C 19%
28°C 12%
$23,163 Vol.
$23,163 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
28%
30°C
36%
31°C
19%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (35.5%) and 29°C (28.0%) for São Paulo's highest temperature on March 29, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and above-climatological warmth. INMET's latest weekly outlook through March 30 notes isolated showers possible in central-western São Paulo but predominantly dry conditions, with recent sunny weather today reaching 28°C and earlier March days hitting 29-32°C in nearby areas after heavy rains and floods around March 8-10. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences—GFS leaning slightly warmer at 30-31°C, ECMWF cooler at 29°C—hinged on afternoon cloud development, light winds limiting mixing, and urban heat effects at monitoring stations like Guarulhos Airport. New INMET updates expected today could refine this before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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