Trader consensus favors 80°F or higher at 56.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 81°F under partly sunny skies amid an ongoing high-pressure ridge that's fueled a record-shattering March heatwave. Over the past week, Denver International Airport logged all-time March highs of 86–88°F on multiple days, 25–30°F above the March 28 normal of 57°F, thanks to warm air advection from the southwest, downslope compression, and abundant sunshine maximizing insolation. Ensemble model runs show consensus around 78–82°F but with spread from potential thin high clouds or light northwest winds introducing afternoon cooling risks, positioning 78–79°F (24.5%) and 76–77°F (17.5%) as viable alternatives. Real-time observations this afternoon will clarify the peak before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 28?
80°F or higher 60%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 2.3%
$25,394 Vol.
$25,394 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
25%
80°F or higher
60%
80°F or higher 60%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 2.3%
$25,394 Vol.
$25,394 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
25%
80°F or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 80°F or higher at 56.5% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 81°F under partly sunny skies amid an ongoing high-pressure ridge that's fueled a record-shattering March heatwave. Over the past week, Denver International Airport logged all-time March highs of 86–88°F on multiple days, 25–30°F above the March 28 normal of 57°F, thanks to warm air advection from the southwest, downslope compression, and abundant sunshine maximizing insolation. Ensemble model runs show consensus around 78–82°F but with spread from potential thin high clouds or light northwest winds introducing afternoon cooling risks, positioning 78–79°F (24.5%) and 76–77°F (17.5%) as viable alternatives. Real-time observations this afternoon will clarify the peak before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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