National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution station, project a high near 49°F today under sunny skies and north-northwest winds around 10-15 mph, positioning 48-49°F as the trader-favored outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with 50-51°F (24.5%) and 46-47°F (21%) close behind. Overnight radiative cooling to near 28°F amid high pressure post-frontal passage sets up modest diurnal heating, tempered by cool continental air mass. Latest model consensus from GFS and NAM aligns, though boundary layer mixing variations introduce 2-3°F uncertainty. Monitor real-time METAR observations at KORD this afternoon, as peak temperatures typically occur 2-4 PM CDT, potentially shifting odds before close. Historical March 28 normal is 52°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
48-49°F 37%
50-51°F 22%
46-47°F 22%
44-45°F 9%
$67,833 Vol.
$67,833 Vol.
43°F or below
1%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
22%
48-49°F
37%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F or higher
<1%
48-49°F 37%
50-51°F 22%
46-47°F 22%
44-45°F 9%
$67,833 Vol.
$67,833 Vol.
43°F or below
1%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
22%
48-49°F
37%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport, the market's resolution station, project a high near 49°F today under sunny skies and north-northwest winds around 10-15 mph, positioning 48-49°F as the trader-favored outcome at 41.5% implied probability, with 50-51°F (24.5%) and 46-47°F (21%) close behind. Overnight radiative cooling to near 28°F amid high pressure post-frontal passage sets up modest diurnal heating, tempered by cool continental air mass. Latest model consensus from GFS and NAM aligns, though boundary layer mixing variations introduce 2-3°F uncertainty. Monitor real-time METAR observations at KORD this afternoon, as peak temperatures typically occur 2-4 PM CDT, potentially shifting odds before close. Historical March 28 normal is 52°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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