Market icon

Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

24°C or higher 48%

23°C 35%

22°C 12%

21°C 5.0%

Polymarket

$66,982 Vol.

24°C or higher 48%

23°C 35%

22°C 12%

21°C 5.0%

Polymarket

$66,982 Vol.

16°C

$7,682 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$2,098 Vol.

<1%

18°C

$6,226 Vol.

1%

19°C

$2,101 Vol.

1%

20°C

$1,887 Vol.

1%

21°C

$2,077 Vol.

5%

22°C

$1,361 Vol.

12%

23°C

$1,008 Vol.

35%

24°C or higher

$2,719 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on March 28, closely trailed by 23°C at 34%, reflecting updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing mild conditions with highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin promoting sunny skies and above-average warmth, with late-March climatological norms around 20–22°C but current southerly winds boosting temperatures. No major cold fronts are forecast in the next 24 hours, though inherent model uncertainty persists; key updates expected from hourly observations starting early March 28 could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window approaches.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on March 28, closely trailed by 23°C at 34%, reflecting updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing mild conditions with highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin promoting sunny skies and above-average warmth, with late-March climatological norms around 20–22°C but current southerly winds boosting temperatures. No major cold fronts are forecast in the next 24 hours, though inherent model uncertainty persists; key updates expected from hourly observations starting early March 28 could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window approaches.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on March 28, closely trailed by 23°C at 34%, reflecting updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing mild conditions with highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin promoting sunny skies and above-average warmth, with late-March climatological norms around 20–22°C but current southerly winds boosting temperatures. No major cold fronts are forecast in the next 24 hours, though inherent model uncertainty persists; key updates expected from hourly observations starting early March 28 could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window approaches.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on March 28, closely trailed by 23°C at 34%, reflecting updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration showing mild conditions with highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan Basin promoting sunny skies and above-average warmth, with late-March climatological norms around 20–22°C but current southerly winds boosting temperatures. No major cold fronts are forecast in the next 24 hours, though inherent model uncertainty persists; key updates expected from hourly observations starting early March 28 could refine these market-implied odds as the resolution window approaches.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「24°C or higher」で48%、次いで「23°C」が35%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、48¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に48%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?」は$67Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?」の現在のフロントランナーは「24°C or higher」で48%であり、市場がこの結果に48%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「23°C」で35%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 28?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。