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Highest temperature in Austin on March 26?

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Highest temperature in Austin on March 26?

Ended: Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Ended: Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

88-89°F 100.0%

81°F or below <1%

82-83°F <1%

84-85°F <1%

Polymarket

$49,143 Vol.

88-89°F 100.0%

81°F or below <1%

82-83°F <1%

84-85°F <1%

Polymarket

$49,143 Vol.

81°F or below

$4,124 Vol.

No

82-83°F

$3,356 Vol.

No

84-85°F

$6,410 Vol.

No

86-87°F

$4,167 Vol.

No

88-89°F

$8,965 Vol.

Yes

90-91°F

$4,920 Vol.

No

92-93°F

$3,421 Vol.

No

94-95°F

$3,160 Vol.

No

96-97°F

$2,463 Vol.

No

98-99°F

$3,959 Vol.

No

100°F or higher

$4,199 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Austin on March 26 projects a high temperature of 88-89°F under a dominant ridge of high pressure aloft, fostering clear skies, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and efficient daytime heating on dry soils. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show tight agreement on this peak, with minimal spread (±1°F), aligning with morning observations where temperatures have risen steadily from the mid-60s°F. This scientific consensus, backed by real-time radiosonde data and satellite imagery of stable atmospheric conditions, underpins the market's near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds developing mid-afternoon or a minor cold front surge, potentially capping highs 2-3°F lower, though official updates later today are unlikely to deviate significantly.

National Weather Service guidance for Austin on March 26 projects a high temperature of 88-89°F under a dominant ridge of high pressure aloft, fostering clear skies, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and efficient daytime heating on dry soils. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show tight agreement on this peak, with minimal spread (±1°F), aligning with morning observations where temperatures have risen steadily from the mid-60s°F. This scientific consensus, backed by real-time radiosonde data and satellite imagery of stable atmospheric conditions, underpins the market's near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds developing mid-afternoon or a minor cold front surge, potentially capping highs 2-3°F lower, though official updates later today are unlikely to deviate significantly.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Austin on March 26 projects a high temperature of 88-89°F under a dominant ridge of high pressure aloft, fostering clear skies, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and efficient daytime heating on dry soils. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show tight agreement on this peak, with minimal spread (±1°F), aligning with morning observations where temperatures have risen steadily from the mid-60s°F. This scientific consensus, backed by real-time radiosonde data and satellite imagery of stable atmospheric conditions, underpins the market's near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds developing mid-afternoon or a minor cold front surge, potentially capping highs 2-3°F lower, though official updates later today are unlikely to deviate significantly.

National Weather Service guidance for Austin on March 26 projects a high temperature of 88-89°F under a dominant ridge of high pressure aloft, fostering clear skies, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and efficient daytime heating on dry soils. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show tight agreement on this peak, with minimal spread (±1°F), aligning with morning observations where temperatures have risen steadily from the mid-60s°F. This scientific consensus, backed by real-time radiosonde data and satellite imagery of stable atmospheric conditions, underpins the market's near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective clouds developing mid-afternoon or a minor cold front surge, potentially capping highs 2-3°F lower, though official updates later today are unlikely to deviate significantly.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Austin on March 26?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「88-89°F」で100%、次いで「81°F or below」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Austin on March 26?」は$49.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Austin on March 26?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Austin on March 26?」の現在のフロントランナーは「88-89°F」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「81°F or below」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Austin on March 26?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。