Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 80-81°F in Atlanta on March 26 (43.5% implied probability), reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a strong upper-level ridge over the Southeast building southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico. This warm air advection, combined with ample sunshine and light winds under high pressure, supports peak afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s, as confirmed by consensus from GFS and ECMWF 00Z model runs released yesterday, which nudged projections upward from prior estimates near 78°F. Near-zero probabilities for 90°F+ or below 71°F align with climatological norms—March averages around 65°F—but acknowledge low-risk scenarios like unexpected marine layer intrusion or frontal timing shifts. Updated 12Z guidance expected this morning could refine these odds further ahead of the diurnal maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月26日のアトランタの最高気温は?
3月26日のアトランタの最高気温は?
80〜81°F 44%
78〜79°F 25%
82〜83°F 22%
84~85°F 3.6%
$59,067 Vol.
$59,067 Vol.
71°F以下
<1%
72〜73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
1%
76~77°F
3%
78〜79°F
25%
80〜81°F
44%
82〜83°F
22%
84~85°F
4%
86~87°F
2%
88〜89°F
1%
90°F以上
<1%
80〜81°F 44%
78〜79°F 25%
82〜83°F 22%
84~85°F 3.6%
$59,067 Vol.
$59,067 Vol.
71°F以下
<1%
72〜73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
1%
76~77°F
3%
78〜79°F
25%
80〜81°F
44%
82〜83°F
22%
84~85°F
4%
86~87°F
2%
88〜89°F
1%
90°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 80-81°F in Atlanta on March 26 (43.5% implied probability), reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts showing a strong upper-level ridge over the Southeast building southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico. This warm air advection, combined with ample sunshine and light winds under high pressure, supports peak afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s, as confirmed by consensus from GFS and ECMWF 00Z model runs released yesterday, which nudged projections upward from prior estimates near 78°F. Near-zero probabilities for 90°F+ or below 71°F align with climatological norms—March averages around 65°F—but acknowledge low-risk scenarios like unexpected marine layer intrusion or frontal timing shifts. Updated 12Z guidance expected this morning could refine these odds further ahead of the diurnal maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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