Market icon

3月27日のアンカラの最高気温は？

Market icon

3月27日のアンカラの最高気温は？

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

15°C 99.8%

17℃ <1%

16℃ <1%

18°C <1%

Polymarket

$144,262 Vol.

15°C 99.8%

17℃ <1%

16℃ <1%

18°C <1%

Polymarket

$144,262 Vol.

15°C

$17,834 Vol.

100%

16℃

$17,229 Vol.

<1%

17℃

$13,831 Vol.

<1%

18°C

$7,022 Vol.

<1%

19°C

$3,374 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$2,656 Vol.

<1%

21℃以上

$3,960 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on March 27 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS. These models project daytime highs peaking at 15°C under persistent cool northerly winds and stable high-pressure influence, aligning with Ankara's late-March climatology where averages hover around 12–15°C. Observational data from the past 48 hours shows overnight lows near 5°C and cloudy conditions suppressing warming. While inherent model uncertainty exists—such as potential shortwave troughs or sudden warm air advection that could push temperatures 1–2°C higher—current ensemble agreement is exceptionally strong, with resolution pending official MGM station measurements at Esenboğa Airport.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$144,262
終了日
Mar 27, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on March 27 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS. These models project daytime highs peaking at 15°C under persistent cool northerly winds and stable high-pressure influence, aligning with Ankara's late-March climatology where averages hover around 12–15°C. Observational data from the past 48 hours shows overnight lows near 5°C and cloudy conditions suppressing warming. While inherent model uncertainty exists—such as potential shortwave troughs or sudden warm air advection that could push temperatures 1–2°C higher—current ensemble agreement is exceptionally strong, with resolution pending official MGM station measurements at Esenboğa Airport.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on March 27 (99.8% implied probability), driven by the latest forecast consensus from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS. These models project daytime highs peaking at 15°C under persistent cool northerly winds and stable high-pressure influence, aligning with Ankara's late-March climatology where averages hover around 12–15°C. Observational data from the past 48 hours shows overnight lows near 5°C and cloudy conditions suppressing warming. While inherent model uncertainty exists—such as potential shortwave troughs or sudden warm air advection that could push temperatures 1–2°C higher—current ensemble agreement is exceptionally strong, with resolution pending official MGM station measurements at Esenboğa Airport.

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よくある質問

「3月27日のアンカラの最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「15°C」で100%、次いで「16℃」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月27日のアンカラの最高気温は？」は$144.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月27日のアンカラの最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月27日のアンカラの最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「15°C」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「16℃」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月27日のアンカラの最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。