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ゴートン補欠選挙とデントン補欠選挙で優勝

Market icon

ゴートン補欠選挙とデントン補欠選挙で優勝

ハンナ・スペンサー - 緑の党 100.0%

マット・グッドウィン-リフォーム <1%

アンディ・バーナム - 労働党 <1%

ベヴ・クレイグ - 労働党 <1%

Polymarket

$1,060,166 Vol.

ハンナ・スペンサー - 緑の党 100.0%

マット・グッドウィン-リフォーム <1%

アンディ・バーナム - 労働党 <1%

ベヴ・クレイグ - 労働党 <1%

Polymarket

$1,060,166 Vol.

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マット・グッドウィン-リフォーム

$177,291 Vol.

いいえ

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アンディ・バーナム - 労働党

$121,653 Vol.

いいえ

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ベヴ・クレイグ - 労働党

$13,562 Vol.

いいえ

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ジア・ユスフ – リフォームUK

$17,068 Vol.

いいえ

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リー・モフィット – リフォームUK

$15,552 Vol.

いいえ

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アンジェリキ・ストギア - 労働党

$226,440 Vol.

いいえ

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アマンダ・ガードナー – 緑の党

$26,413 Vol.

いいえ

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ジョナサン・ガリス – リフォームUK

$12,154 Vol.

いいえ

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ザック・ポランスキー – 緑の党

$16,455 Vol.

いいえ

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ハンナ・スペンサー - 緑の党

$423,223 Vol.

はい

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ジャッキー・パーシー - 自由民主党

$10,354 Vol.

いいえ

The Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election is currently scheduled for February 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election in Greater Manchester.

If the election results are not clear by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Any change in party affiliation will not affect the resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Manchester City Council (https://www.manchester.gov.uk/elections).
音量
$1,060,166
終了日
Feb 26, 2026
作成日時
Jan 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
The Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election is currently scheduled for February 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election in Greater Manchester. If the election results are not clear by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Any change in party affiliation will not affect the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Manchester City Council (https://www.manchester.gov.uk/elections).

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ゴートン補欠選挙とデントン補欠選挙で優勝" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ハンナ・スペンサー - 緑の党" at 100%, followed by "マット・グッドウィン-リフォーム" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ゴートン補欠選挙とデントン補欠選挙で優勝" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ゴートン補欠選挙とデントン補欠選挙で優勝," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ゴートン補欠選挙とデントン補欠選挙で優勝" is "ハンナ・スペンサー - 緑の党" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "マット・グッドウィン-リフォーム" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ゴートン補欠選挙とデントン補欠選挙で優勝" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.