Trader consensus heavily favors Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman remaining in office past December 31, 2026, with 90% odds on "No," driven by his sustained recovery and active Senate participation following a 2022 stroke and early 2024 depression treatment. Fetterman returned to Capitol Hill in February 2024, consistently voting on key issues like Israel aid and border security while criticizing campus antisemitism, signaling robust health and engagement. No official announcements of retirement or incapacity have emerged, and recent October campaigning for Democratic incumbents like Bob Casey underscores his political viability through his 2028 reelection cycle. Absent new health catalysts or scandals, traders price minimal risk of vacancy before midterms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ET
音量
$537終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$537終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2025, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman remaining in office past December 31, 2026, with 90% odds on "No," driven by his sustained recovery and active Senate participation following a 2022 stroke and early 2024 depression treatment. Fetterman returned to Capitol Hill in February 2024, consistently voting on key issues like Israel aid and border security while criticizing campus antisemitism, signaling robust health and engagement. No official announcements of retirement or incapacity have emerged, and recent October campaigning for Democratic incumbents like Bob Casey underscores his political viability through his 2028 reelection cycle. Absent new health catalysts or scandals, traders price minimal risk of vacancy before midterms.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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