Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely tracking recent ECB staff projections of 0.9% (down 0.3 percentage points from December 2025) and private forecasts like Vanguard's 0.8% (cut 0.4 points on April 2) and Deloitte's 1.1%. These reflect Q4 2025's modest 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, compounded by Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges creating stagflationary pressures, prospective US tariffs eroding export competitiveness, and softening PMIs, despite resilient labor markets and fiscal boosts from defense spending. The 24.1% odds on 0-1.0% highlight downside risks, with Q1 2026 flash GDP data due April 30 poised to influence sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.0〜2.0％ 46%
0～1.0％ 22.9%
2.0〜3.0％ 13%
0％未満 9.8%
新規
新規
2027/01/31
0％未満
10%
0～1.0％
23%
1.0〜2.0％
46%
2.0〜3.0％
13%
3.0〜4.0％
6%
4.0～5.0％
8%
5.0-6.0％
5%
6.0～7.0％
4%
7.0％以上
4%
1.0〜2.0％ 46%
0～1.0％ 22.9%
2.0〜3.0％ 13%
0％未満 9.8%
新規
新規
2027/01/31
0％未満
$593 Vol.
10%
0～1.0％
$425 Vol.
23%
1.0〜2.0％
$1,227 Vol.
46%
2.0〜3.0％
$547 Vol.
13%
3.0〜4.0％
$469 Vol.
6%
4.0～5.0％
$1,378 Vol.
8%
5.0-6.0％
$479 Vol.
5%
6.0～7.0％
$527 Vol.
4%
7.0％以上
$333 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely tracking recent ECB staff projections of 0.9% (down 0.3 percentage points from December 2025) and private forecasts like Vanguard's 0.8% (cut 0.4 points on April 2) and Deloitte's 1.1%. These reflect Q4 2025's modest 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, compounded by Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges creating stagflationary pressures, prospective US tariffs eroding export competitiveness, and softening PMIs, despite resilient labor markets and fiscal boosts from defense spending. The 24.1% odds on 0-1.0% highlight downside risks, with Q1 2026 flash GDP data due April 30 poised to influence sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
音量
$5,979終了日
2027/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely tracking recent ECB staff projections of 0.9% (down 0.3 percentage points from December 2025) and private forecasts like Vanguard's 0.8% (cut 0.4 points on April 2) and Deloitte's 1.1%. These reflect Q4 2025's modest 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, compounded by Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges creating stagflationary pressures, prospective US tariffs eroding export competitiveness, and softening PMIs, despite resilient labor markets and fiscal boosts from defense spending. The 24.1% odds on 0-1.0% highlight downside risks, with Q1 2026 flash GDP data due April 30 poised to influence sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,979終了日
2027/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual GDP growth of 1.0-2.0% in 2026, closely tracking recent ECB staff projections of 0.9% (down 0.3 percentage points from December 2025) and private forecasts like Vanguard's 0.8% (cut 0.4 points on April 2) and Deloitte's 1.1%. These reflect Q4 2025's modest 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, compounded by Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges creating stagflationary pressures, prospective US tariffs eroding export competitiveness, and softening PMIs, despite resilient labor markets and fiscal boosts from defense spending. The 24.1% odds on 0-1.0% highlight downside risks, with Q1 2026 flash GDP data due April 30 poised to influence sentiment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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