Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Social Democrats as the Denmark parliamentary election winner, reflecting their dominant poll leads and incumbency advantage under Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen since the 2022 Folketing vote. Recent opinion surveys from sources like Voxmeter and Verian show the party consistently at 25-30% support—well ahead of fragmented rivals like the Moderates, Venstre, and rising Denmark Democrats—bolstered by effective handling of immigration, green transition policies, and economic stability amid EU pressures. This skin-in-the-game pricing implies low upset risk ahead of the next election by late 2026. Realistic challenges include a snap election triggered by coalition fractures, a major scandal, or nationalist surge exploiting inflation or Ukraine-related strains.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日社会民主党 99.4%
自由同盟 <1%
ヴェンストレ <1%
グリーン左派 <1%
$754,079 Vol.
$754,079 Vol.

社会民主党
99%

ヴェンストレ
1%

デンマーク民主党
<1%

グリーン左派
<1%

自由同盟
1%

中道派
<1%

保守人民党
<1%

赤・緑連合
<1%

デンマーク国民党
<1%

デンマーク社会自由党
<1%

オルタナティヴ
<1%

市民党
<1%

統一党
<1%

フォロー諸島社会民主党
<1%

イヌイット・アタカティギット
<1%

ナレラク
<1%
社会民主党 99.4%
自由同盟 <1%
ヴェンストレ <1%
グリーン左派 <1%
$754,079 Vol.
$754,079 Vol.

社会民主党
99%

ヴェンストレ
1%

デンマーク民主党
<1%

グリーン左派
<1%

自由同盟
1%

中道派
<1%

保守人民党
<1%

赤・緑連合
<1%

デンマーク国民党
<1%

デンマーク社会自由党
<1%

オルタナティヴ
<1%

市民党
<1%

統一党
<1%

フォロー諸島社会民主党
<1%

イヌイット・アタカティギット
<1%

ナレラク
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Danish Folketing (unicameral national legislature) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Danish Folketing in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Danish government sources such as the Ministry of Interior and Health (https://www.valg.im.dk/) and Statistics Denmark (https://www.dst.dk/en).
マーケット開始日: Feb 26, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Social Democrats as the Denmark parliamentary election winner, reflecting their dominant poll leads and incumbency advantage under Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen since the 2022 Folketing vote. Recent opinion surveys from sources like Voxmeter and Verian show the party consistently at 25-30% support—well ahead of fragmented rivals like the Moderates, Venstre, and rising Denmark Democrats—bolstered by effective handling of immigration, green transition policies, and economic stability amid EU pressures. This skin-in-the-game pricing implies low upset risk ahead of the next election by late 2026. Realistic challenges include a snap election triggered by coalition fractures, a major scandal, or nationalist surge exploiting inflation or Ukraine-related strains.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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