Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams commands 71% trader consensus as the UT-01 Democratic primary frontrunner on June 23, driven by his fundraising lead, pre-convention polling edge showing 36% support, and appeal to moderate voters in the broader primary electorate beyond activist delegates. Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% after mid-April resurfacing of offensive old social media posts eroded his progressive momentum, while convention winner Liban Mohamed sits at 9.7% as the 27-year-old newcomer struggles to expand grassroots enthusiasm into wider turnout. The newly drawn blue-leaning district features a crowded ballot after signature qualifications, with no major shifts since the April 25 ranked-choice convention upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBen McAdams 71%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 9.3%
Brian King <1%
$28,965 Vol.
$28,965 Vol.
Ben McAdams
71%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
9%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
Ben McAdams 71%
Nate Blouin 20%
Liban Mohamed 9.3%
Brian King <1%
$28,965 Vol.
$28,965 Vol.
Ben McAdams
71%
Nate Blouin
20%
Liban Mohamed
9%
Brian King
1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Michael Farrell
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams commands 71% trader consensus as the UT-01 Democratic primary frontrunner on June 23, driven by his fundraising lead, pre-convention polling edge showing 36% support, and appeal to moderate voters in the broader primary electorate beyond activist delegates. Nate Blouin trails at 19.5% after mid-April resurfacing of offensive old social media posts eroded his progressive momentum, while convention winner Liban Mohamed sits at 9.7% as the 27-year-old newcomer struggles to expand grassroots enthusiasm into wider turnout. The newly drawn blue-leaning district features a crowded ballot after signature qualifications, with no major shifts since the April 25 ranked-choice convention upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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