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Politica·Primarie

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 74%

Nate Blouin 21%

Luz Escamilla <1%

Brian King <1%

Polymarket

$24,731 Vol.

Ben McAdams 74%

Nate Blouin 21%

Luz Escamilla <1%

Brian King <1%

Polymarket

$24,731 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$6,906 Vol.

74%

Nate Blouin

$3,710 Vol.

21%

Luz Escamilla

$5,524 Vol.

1%

Brian King

$817 Vol.

1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,305 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,181 Vol.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$944 Vol.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$668 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$677 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding 74% implied probability in trader consensus for the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23%, bolstered by name recognition from his prior service and recent momentum from Salt Lake County Council member Kathleen Riebe's dropout and endorsement four days ago, citing Blouin's volatility. Blouin's 20% share reflects progressive endorsements like the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC but has slipped amid fresh scrutiny of his old social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, reported within the last day. A conservative dark money super PAC's $611,000 ad buy boosting McAdams underscores fears of a progressive nominee in this newly drawn D+14 district. The April 25 state convention could shift dynamics via delegate support ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,731
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding 74% implied probability in trader consensus for the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23%, bolstered by name recognition from his prior service and recent momentum from Salt Lake County Council member Kathleen Riebe's dropout and endorsement four days ago, citing Blouin's volatility. Blouin's 20% share reflects progressive endorsements like the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC but has slipped amid fresh scrutiny of his old social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, reported within the last day. A conservative dark money super PAC's $611,000 ad buy boosting McAdams underscores fears of a progressive nominee in this newly drawn D+14 district. The April 25 state convention could shift dynamics via delegate support ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$24,731
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ben McAdams" a 74%, seguito da "Nate Blouin" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 74¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $24.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Ben McAdams" a 74%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 74% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nate Blouin" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.