The 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, features Richard Gordon Thomson as the SNP candidate. Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency, benefits from the party’s established local organization and the seat’s recent electoral history. The contest has centered on North Sea oil and gas policy as the dominant issue, with traders pricing in an SNP hold at high implied probability. Conservative candidate Douglas Lumsden and other contenders trail significantly in market pricing, reflecting limited evidence of a shift in voter coalitions or turnout patterns ahead of the 18 June poll. Market odds remain sensitive to any late shifts in energy-related messaging or participation rates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDouglas Lumsden 100.0%
Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%
Richard Gordon Thomson <1%
Jo Hart <1%
$31,419 Vol.
$31,419 Vol.
Jorg Shelton-Eckstein
No
Richard Gordon Thomson
No
Douglas Lumsden
Sì
Jo Hart
No
Nurul Hoque Ali
No
Mel Sullivan
No
David Ballantine
No
Douglas Lumsden 100.0%
Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%
Richard Gordon Thomson <1%
Jo Hart <1%
$31,419 Vol.
$31,419 Vol.
Jorg Shelton-Eckstein
No
Richard Gordon Thomson
No
Douglas Lumsden
Sì
Jo Hart
No
Nurul Hoque Ali
No
Mel Sullivan
No
David Ballantine
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, features Richard Gordon Thomson as the SNP candidate. Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency, benefits from the party’s established local organization and the seat’s recent electoral history. The contest has centered on North Sea oil and gas policy as the dominant issue, with traders pricing in an SNP hold at high implied probability. Conservative candidate Douglas Lumsden and other contenders trail significantly in market pricing, reflecting limited evidence of a shift in voter coalitions or turnout patterns ahead of the 18 June poll. Market odds remain sensitive to any late shifts in energy-related messaging or participation rates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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