Incumbent Democratic Representative Eric Sorensen secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 17 primary, while Republican Dillan Vancil emerged from a contested primary to face him in the November 3 general election. The district's D+3 partisan lean, demonstrated by recent presidential results, combined with Sorensen's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million raised and over $1.1 million in cash on hand, underpins trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 85 percent. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the campaign environment. No major developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past 30 days, leaving the focus on general election turnout and any late-cycle dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-17 House Election Winner
IL-17 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$840 Vol.
83%
Republican Party
$677 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Eric Sorensen secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 17 primary, while Republican Dillan Vancil emerged from a contested primary to face him in the November 3 general election. The district's D+3 partisan lean, demonstrated by recent presidential results, combined with Sorensen's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million raised and over $1.1 million in cash on hand, underpins trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 85 percent. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the campaign environment. No major developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past 30 days, leaving the focus on general election turnout and any late-cycle dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$1,517Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Eric Sorensen secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 17 primary, while Republican Dillan Vancil emerged from a contested primary to face him in the November 3 general election. The district's D+3 partisan lean, demonstrated by recent presidential results, combined with Sorensen's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million raised and over $1.1 million in cash on hand, underpins trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 85 percent. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the campaign environment. No major developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past 30 days, leaving the focus on general election turnout and any late-cycle dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,517Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Eric Sorensen secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 17 primary, while Republican Dillan Vancil emerged from a contested primary to face him in the November 3 general election. The district's D+3 partisan lean, demonstrated by recent presidential results, combined with Sorensen's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million raised and over $1.1 million in cash on hand, underpins trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory at 85 percent. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic, reflecting structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the campaign environment. No major developments have altered the competitive landscape in the past 30 days, leaving the focus on general election turnout and any late-cycle dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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