Recent Ipsos-Ipec polling released in early June shows Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas 44% to 33% in the first round for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Ciro extending that edge to 49%-41% in a projected runoff. Traders have priced this momentum into Ciro's position as the clear frontrunner, while Elmano's reelection bid faces headwinds from the competitive polling environment and Ciro's established name recognition as a former governor. Lower-probability candidates including Eduardo Girão, Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register minimal support in surveys and lack comparable recent campaign traction or polling movement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Eduardo Girão 7.3%
Camilo Santana 4.8%
$61,127 Vol.
$61,127 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
63%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
Eduardo Girão
7%
Camilo Santana
5%
Capitão Wagner
4%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 63%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Eduardo Girão 7.3%
Camilo Santana 4.8%
$61,127 Vol.
$61,127 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Ciro Gomes
$38,604 Vol.
63%
Elmano de Freitas
$8,101 Vol.
28%
Eduardo Girão
$3,609 Vol.
7%
Camilo Santana
$3,418 Vol.
5%
Capitão Wagner
$5,212 Vol.
4%
Roberto Cláudio
$2,183 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Ipsos-Ipec polling released in early June shows Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas 44% to 33% in the first round for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Ciro extending that edge to 49%-41% in a projected runoff. Traders have priced this momentum into Ciro's position as the clear frontrunner, while Elmano's reelection bid faces headwinds from the competitive polling environment and Ciro's established name recognition as a former governor. Lower-probability candidates including Eduardo Girão, Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register minimal support in surveys and lack comparable recent campaign traction or polling movement.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$61,127Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Ipsos-Ipec polling released in early June shows Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas 44% to 33% in the first round for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Ciro extending that edge to 49%-41% in a projected runoff. Traders have priced this momentum into Ciro's position as the clear frontrunner, while Elmano's reelection bid faces headwinds from the competitive polling environment and Ciro's established name recognition as a former governor. Lower-probability candidates including Eduardo Girão, Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register minimal support in surveys and lack comparable recent campaign traction or polling movement.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$61,127Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Ipsos-Ipec polling released in early June shows Ciro Gomes leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas 44% to 33% in the first round for the October 4 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Ciro extending that edge to 49%-41% in a projected runoff. Traders have priced this momentum into Ciro's position as the clear frontrunner, while Elmano's reelection bid faces headwinds from the competitive polling environment and Ciro's established name recognition as a former governor. Lower-probability candidates including Eduardo Girão, Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register minimal support in surveys and lack comparable recent campaign traction or polling movement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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