Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including Trend (April 13-16), Gallup International (April 8-16), and Market Links (April 7-14), consistently project Progresivna Bŭlgariya (PB, former President Rumen Radev's new anti-corruption formation) leading at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, and PP-DB third at 11-13%, ahead of DPS at 8-11%. This polling stability amid the eighth election since 2021, triggered by the December 2025 Zhelyazkov government resignation over budget protests and corruption, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB for third place by a narrow but firm margin over DPS. Intensified vote-buying probes and foreign interference concerns add uncertainty, but no major shifts have altered the hierarchy in the final week. Post-election coalition negotiations will shape government formation in the fragmented National Assembly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni parlamentari in Bulgaria: 3° posto
Elezioni parlamentari in Bulgaria: 3° posto
PP–DB 79%
DPS 18%
GERB-SDS 3.0%
Velichie <1%
$129,919 Vol.
$129,919 Vol.

PP–DB
79%

DPS
18%

GERB-SDS
3%

Velichie
<1%

Vazrazhdane
<1%

BSP
<1%

ITN
<1%

MECh
<1%

PB
<1%

APS
<1%
PP–DB 79%
DPS 18%
GERB-SDS 3.0%
Velichie <1%
$129,919 Vol.
$129,919 Vol.

PP–DB
79%

DPS
18%

GERB-SDS
3%

Velichie
<1%

Vazrazhdane
<1%

BSP
<1%

ITN
<1%

MECh
<1%

PB
<1%

APS
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, including Trend (April 13-16), Gallup International (April 8-16), and Market Links (April 7-14), consistently project Progresivna Bŭlgariya (PB, former President Rumen Radev's new anti-corruption formation) leading at 32-37%, GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, and PP-DB third at 11-13%, ahead of DPS at 8-11%. This polling stability amid the eighth election since 2021, triggered by the December 2025 Zhelyazkov government resignation over budget protests and corruption, drives trader consensus favoring PP-DB for third place by a narrow but firm margin over DPS. Intensified vote-buying probes and foreign interference concerns add uncertainty, but no major shifts have altered the hierarchy in the final week. Post-election coalition negotiations will shape government formation in the fragmented National Assembly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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