Recent generic ballot polls, such as YouGov's April 3-6 survey (Democrats 44-42%) and aggregates showing Democratic leads of 2-6 points among registered voters expanding to 10 points among definite voters, signal potential mobilization advantages keeping trader consensus clustered around 115-130 million House votes. This tightness reflects historical midterm patterns—2022's 108 million valid votes versus 2018's 118 million—tempered by modest early primary turnouts like North Carolina's March 3 election amid economic pressures and President Trump's 43% approval. Standard midterm drop-off from 2024's high presidential turnout balances against policy-driven enthusiasm in battlegrounds. Widening Democratic polling edges, special election results, or economic shifts could drive separation toward higher bins, while GOP consolidation might favor lower ranges before November 3 resolution on certified totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
5%
85-90m
9%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
13%
110-115m
15%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
14%
125-130m
23%
130m+
6%
115-120m 18%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 15%
120-125m 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<85m
$319 Vol.
5%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
9%
90-95m
$831 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$631 Vol.
6%
105-110m
$431 Vol.
13%
110-115m
$440 Vol.
15%
115-120m
$1,020 Vol.
18%
120-125m
$371 Vol.
14%
125-130m
$1,158 Vol.
23%
130m+
$245 Vol.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic ballot polls, such as YouGov's April 3-6 survey (Democrats 44-42%) and aggregates showing Democratic leads of 2-6 points among registered voters expanding to 10 points among definite voters, signal potential mobilization advantages keeping trader consensus clustered around 115-130 million House votes. This tightness reflects historical midterm patterns—2022's 108 million valid votes versus 2018's 118 million—tempered by modest early primary turnouts like North Carolina's March 3 election amid economic pressures and President Trump's 43% approval. Standard midterm drop-off from 2024's high presidential turnout balances against policy-driven enthusiasm in battlegrounds. Widening Democratic polling edges, special election results, or economic shifts could drive separation toward higher bins, while GOP consolidation might favor lower ranges before November 3 resolution on certified totals.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$6,132Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic ballot polls, such as YouGov's April 3-6 survey (Democrats 44-42%) and aggregates showing Democratic leads of 2-6 points among registered voters expanding to 10 points among definite voters, signal potential mobilization advantages keeping trader consensus clustered around 115-130 million House votes. This tightness reflects historical midterm patterns—2022's 108 million valid votes versus 2018's 118 million—tempered by modest early primary turnouts like North Carolina's March 3 election amid economic pressures and President Trump's 43% approval. Standard midterm drop-off from 2024's high presidential turnout balances against policy-driven enthusiasm in battlegrounds. Widening Democratic polling edges, special election results, or economic shifts could drive separation toward higher bins, while GOP consolidation might favor lower ranges before November 3 resolution on certified totals.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$6,132Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent generic ballot polls, such as YouGov's April 3-6 survey (Democrats 44-42%) and aggregates showing Democratic leads of 2-6 points among registered voters expanding to 10 points among definite voters, signal potential mobilization advantages keeping trader consensus clustered around 115-130 million House votes. This tightness reflects historical midterm patterns—2022's 108 million valid votes versus 2018's 118 million—tempered by modest early primary turnouts like North Carolina's March 3 election amid economic pressures and President Trump's 43% approval. Standard midterm drop-off from 2024's high presidential turnout balances against policy-driven enthusiasm in battlegrounds. Widening Democratic polling edges, special election results, or economic shifts could drive separation toward higher bins, while GOP consolidation might favor lower ranges before November 3 resolution on certified totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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