Trader consensus on the May 2026 U.S. CPI monthly change centers on 0.5 percent as the leading outcome, aligned with the Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast of 0.46 percent released June 1. April’s hotter-than-expected 0.6 percent print, which lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8 percent—the highest since May 2023—was propelled by a sharp energy surge tied to geopolitical tensions, including a reported conflict involving Iran that boosted gasoline prices 28.4 percent year-over-year. Markets appear to price in some moderation in May energy and shelter components ahead of the June 10 release, while core pressures remain anchored near recent levels.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 19%
0.8% 3.0%
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
2%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
19%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
0.5% 51%
0.4% 20.6%
0.6% 19%
0.8% 3.0%
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
≤0.1%
1%
0.2%
<1%
0.3%
2%
0.4%
21%
0.5%
51%
0.6%
19%
0.7%
2%
0.8%
3%
≥0.9%
1%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the May 2026 U.S. CPI monthly change centers on 0.5 percent as the leading outcome, aligned with the Cleveland Fed’s latest nowcast of 0.46 percent released June 1. April’s hotter-than-expected 0.6 percent print, which lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8 percent—the highest since May 2023—was propelled by a sharp energy surge tied to geopolitical tensions, including a reported conflict involving Iran that boosted gasoline prices 28.4 percent year-over-year. Markets appear to price in some moderation in May energy and shelter components ahead of the June 10 release, while core pressures remain anchored near recent levels.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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