US trader consensus on a potential full-scale invasion of Venezuela remains low following the January 3 targeted airstrikes and Delta Force raid under Operation Absolute Resolve, which captured President Nicolás Maduro on narcoterrorism charges without ground troop occupation or territorial control—criteria unmet for most market resolutions. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez's government has since released over 600 political prisoners, passed oil reforms enabling US firm access, and seen sanctions lifted on her personally as of April 1 amid resumed diplomatic ties, with the US embassy reopening March 30. No further military escalations signal; focus shifts to economic stabilization, counternarcotics cooperation, and transition oversight, though opposition leaders like María Corina Machado push for elections amid international sovereignty concerns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLes États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?
Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir le Venezuela par... ?
$14,137,084 Vol.
31 mars 2026
31 décembre
13%
$14,137,084 Vol.
31 décembre
$181,076 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US trader consensus on a potential full-scale invasion of Venezuela remains low following the January 3 targeted airstrikes and Delta Force raid under Operation Absolute Resolve, which captured President Nicolás Maduro on narcoterrorism charges without ground troop occupation or territorial control—criteria unmet for most market resolutions. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez's government has since released over 600 political prisoners, passed oil reforms enabling US firm access, and seen sanctions lifted on her personally as of April 1 amid resumed diplomatic ties, with the US embassy reopening March 30. No further military escalations signal; focus shifts to economic stabilization, counternarcotics cooperation, and transition oversight, though opposition leaders like María Corina Machado push for elections amid international sovereignty concerns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Marché ouvert : Dec 17, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Volume
$14,137,084Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US trader consensus on a potential full-scale invasion of Venezuela remains low following the January 3 targeted airstrikes and Delta Force raid under Operation Absolute Resolve, which captured President Nicolás Maduro on narcoterrorism charges without ground troop occupation or territorial control—criteria unmet for most market resolutions. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez's government has since released over 600 political prisoners, passed oil reforms enabling US firm access, and seen sanctions lifted on her personally as of April 1 amid resumed diplomatic ties, with the US embassy reopening March 30. No further military escalations signal; focus shifts to economic stabilization, counternarcotics cooperation, and transition oversight, though opposition leaders like María Corina Machado push for elections amid international sovereignty concerns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$14,137,084Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
US trader consensus on a potential full-scale invasion of Venezuela remains low following the January 3 targeted airstrikes and Delta Force raid under Operation Absolute Resolve, which captured President Nicolás Maduro on narcoterrorism charges without ground troop occupation or territorial control—criteria unmet for most market resolutions. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez's government has since released over 600 political prisoners, passed oil reforms enabling US firm access, and seen sanctions lifted on her personally as of April 1 amid resumed diplomatic ties, with the US embassy reopening March 30. No further military escalations signal; focus shifts to economic stabilization, counternarcotics cooperation, and transition oversight, though opposition leaders like María Corina Machado push for elections amid international sovereignty concerns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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